Dennis Gartman, author of The Gartman Letter, joined the show to discuss his take on the dollar, which he predicted last Friday was due for a bounce. The dollar had its biggest one day reversal in a year on Monday. He also noted that in the last 4 days the U.S. dollar had the biggest rally versus the Canadian dollar that he has seen in his life. He also wouldn't be surprised to see gold fall another $40. Also, Gartman is looking for oil to fall $10-$15 before Thanksgiving.
Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg said on Monday that the last time he's seen a drop in consumer confidence to this degree during the Holiday season; the economy was in a recession. Macke thinks the Tuesday earnings reports from Home Depot (
HD) and Wal-Mart (
WMT) will be horrific. The only retailer he expects a good earnings report from is Kohl's (KSS) and his wild card is Macy's (
M). He would get long Costco (
COST) and Target (
TGT). Adami thinks a trade is setting up for Coldwater Creek (
CWTR), which he mentions has a very high short interest.
E*Trade (
ETFC) lost 60% of its value Monday on concerns over the companies loan portfolio. Finerman thinks the most clear trade is to be long TD Ameritrade Holding (
AMTD). Finerman sees opportunity for TD Ameritrade to steal E*Trade clients with all the problems they're having. She also likes Charles Schwab (
SCHW).
IBM (
IBM) bought Cognos (
COGN) for $5 billion and Fortune Brands (
FO) sold its wine business to Constellation Brands (
STZ) for $885 million. Adami declares United States Steel (
X) will be the next company to be taken over.
Word on the StreetTechnology stocks continued to slide Monday with leaders like Google (
GOOG) dropping 5%, Apple (
AAPL) dropping 7% and Research In Motion (
RIMM) dropping 9%. Adami likes Hewlett Packard (
HPQ) ahead of next Monday's earnings report.
Rio Tinto (
RTP) hits a record high after BHP Billiton (
BHP) laid out the details for its $140 billion all-share offer.
Adami says the big pharmaceutical story is not fiction and Merck (
MRK) is for real. He also loves defense play Johnson & Johnson (
JNJ). Macke agrees with Adami and that right now is a good time to be long Merck, Procter & Gamble (
PG), Pfizer (
PFE) and Church & Dwight (
CHD) for a defensive portfolio. Najarian wants to keep an eye on Eli Lilly (
LLY).
Pops & DropsPops - Cisco Systems (
CSCO) traded up 2% on Monday as the market declined.
Mattel (
MAT) traded up 4% off a JPMorgan upgrade.
Starwood (
HOT) traded up 2%
Washington Mutual (
WM) traded up 1% as the financial stocks mounted a rally on Monday.
American Airlines (
AMR), US Airways (
LCC) and Delta (
DAL) all traded up more than 5% as oil prices declined.
Starbucks (
SBUX) traded up 3%.
Drops - Freeport McMoRan (
FCX) fell 10% as commodity stocks were hit off the dollar rally.
Tyson Foods (
TSN) fell 3% after cutting its 2008 forecast.
Sotheby's (
BID) fell 2%.
Mosaic (
MOS) fell 14% off the dollar rally.
Final TradeMacke likes defensive play Procter & Gamble (
PG).
Adami recommends Cisco Systems (
CSCO).
Finerman and Najarian both picked TD Ameritrade Holding (
AMTD).
Labels: AMTD, CNBC, CNBC's Fast Money, COST, CWTR, dennis gartman, ETFC, Fast Money, Fast Money Recap, HD, KSS, TGT, WMT