A slug of disappointments in technology caused a rotation from “the rotation.” Elsewhere though, strength in the energy complex and less lofty expectations helped keep the schnitzeling to a minimum and the bull at large still hanging in there. For the four-day period, the S&P500 ($
SPX) and NASDAQ Composite ($
COMPQ) are showing very mixed results from a virtually unchanged decliner of just -.02%, to a much larger -2.06% bit of expired bull.The past week brought home the fact that the market is indeed made up of individual stocks. Large-cap tech—an area of late that’s seen a heavy rotation by institutional money in search of a new home—took the path less traveled. The quick workout on heavyweight tech contenders started off with a sales warning from security software powerhouse Symantec (
SYMC), an influential downgrade of key players in the semis (
SMH,
KLAC,
LRCX,
NVLS), and two brokers chiming in with reductions to “neutral” on networking giant Cisco (
CSCO). A narrowing of gross margins and lackluster guidance by Intel (
INTC) didn’t help matters for tech bulls, nor did Apple’s (
AAPL) earnings disappointment Wednesday evening. The current crown jewel beat bottom line estimates by 36 cents. However, guidance was reduced by management and shipments of the ever-popular iPod and Mac products were seen as being at the low end of expectations. In Friday’s session, reduced margins resulting in a ‘light’ penny beat at Big Blue (
IBM) didn’t compute for bulls. In each case, the individual issues experienced what many might call an inflated disappointment, with investors simply looking to focus on the worst that each report had to offer. With all of the aforementioned being at or near 52-week highs, or better, and Wall Street having made an ‘all in’ move into the group of late, some might also call the action deserved. Black Gold (
USO) pushed lower and hit below $50 a barrel for the first time in more than two years. On the week, the futures contract finished down a point at 51.99. Interestingly enough, the ‘profit-engine’ of the energy complex (
XLE,
OIH) managed to find a bid for the four-day period after its own severe slide. Value hunters and shorts covering were helped along in Friday’s trade by Schlumberger’s (
SLB) better-than-expected earnings and a group whose bearish consensus outlook is fertile ground for contra trend reactions. The broader market as represented by the S&P500 can certainly thank the influence that the energy complex carries with it, in keeping profit-taking to a bare minimum. Lowered expectations of earnings (outside of technology) has also helped somewhat. Reactions on the week were generally mixed and the reports themselves didn’t offer up any type of unified and strong guidance for investors. However, Wall Street was able to keep the pains felt in tech names an isolated condition. That might be seen as a small victory for bulls. Names offering up decent results this past week include Wells Fargo (
WFC), Harley (
HOG), Johnson Controls (
JCI) and Capital One (
COF). Economic data this past week continued to hint at a slightly stronger economy than expected—focused on inflation pressures, but not reacting to the news either way. Better-than-expected reports on housing starts, industrial production and regional manufacturing reflected underlying growth. Also, weakening trends in energy and commodity prices helped keep price concerns muted and the bulls somewhat supportive of market prices. Other data however, hindered any further rally attempts. A tighter-than-expected labor market via the weekly claims report [sub 300K second week] is keeping the theme of wage-based inflation on traders’ minds. Further, neither the CPI nor PPI releases were able to show any type of clear moderation in prices of yet. With a year-over-year reading of the core CPI at 2.6%, that figure remains elevated, but not significant enough to warrant the Fed to shift policy. All said and done, with the widely followed 10-Year unchanged on the week at 4.77% and the S&P500 virtually unchanged, traders’ will have plenty of fresh catalysts this week to inspire. ON TAP THIS WEEKHeading into the week, potential market catalysts are riding heavily on 4th quarter earnings reports. This week will be the first of the season offering a full five days of corporate results and a calendar filled with promise from the likes of Texas Instruments (
TXN), Bank of America (
BAC), Yahoo (
YHOO), Occidental (
OXY), Amgen (
AMGN), Caterpillar (
CAT), Ford (
F) and Johnson & Johnson (
JNJ). Thus far, Reuter’s estimates that fourth quarter operational earnings for the S&P500 are on track for an increase of 9.3%. That’s roughly in-line with analysts estimates seen heading into the season, but more than 85% of S&P500 companies are still on tap to report. Further, an in-line Q4 after thirteen periods of double digit growth and a market at multi-year highs doesn’t sound like the basis for bullish behavior in 2007. MondayEconomic: Leading Indicators (.2%)Earnings: Pfizer (
PFE), Eaton (
ETN), A.O. Smith (
AOS), Lee (
LEE), Sify (
SIFY), Plantronics (
PLT), Texas Instruments (
TXN), CSX (
CSX)TuesdayEconomic: NAEarnings: Bank of America (
BAC), EMC (
EMC), Jacobs (
JEC), J & J (
JNJ), Precision Cast (
PCP), Rediff (
REDF), UAL (
UAUA), Advanced Micro (
AMD), Citrix (
CTXS), Centex (
CTX), QLogic (
QLGC), Steel Dynamics (
STLD), Supertex (
SUPX), Yahoo (
YHOO), Seagate (
STX), RFMicro (
RFMD)WednesdayEconomic: Weekly CrudeEarnings: Alleghany (
ATI), Conoco (
COP), Corning (
GLW), General Dynamics (
GD), Piper Jaffray (
PJC), Waters (
WAT), eBay (
EBAY), F5 Net (
FFIV), Netflix (
NFLX), Novellus (
NVLS), Qualcomm (
QCOM), Rambus (
RMBS), Symantec (
SYMC), Varian Med (
VAR)ThursdayEconomic: Weekly Claims (310K), Existing Home Sales (6.30M)Earnings: Applied Bio (
ABI), AT&T (
T), BJ Srvc (
BJS), Dow Chem (
DOW), Ford (
F), Imclone (
IMCL), Legg Mason (
LM), Potash (
POT), Occidental (
OXY), Nokia (
NOK), Quest Diag (
DGX), SunPower (
SPWR), Union P (
UNP), Peabody (
BTU), Amgen (
AMGN), Harman (
HAR), Bebe (
BEBE), Columbia (
COLM), MEMC (
WFR), Microsoft (
MSFT), Stryker (
SYK), Tempur-Pedic, (
TPX), VistaPrint (VPRT), Western Digital (
WDC)FridayEconomic: Durable Orders (3.5%), New Home Sales (1.05M)Earnings: Carpenter Tech (
CRS), Caterpillar (
CAT), Fortune Brands (
FO), Halliburton (
HAL), Honeywell (
HON), T. Rowe (
TROW), CDW Corp (
CDWC), FPL Group (
FPL)
Published By Optionetics
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