Jim Cramer Blog

The Dow Jones Industrial hit new highs on Monday as the market shook off a warning from Citigroup (C), which reported a 60% drop in earnings for the current quarter. The S&P 500 is within 9 points of a record and the NASDAQ hit a 6 year high. Finerman: surprised with the market strength on Monday. Najarian suggested that these are investors who sat on the sidelines during the summer. They are now putting money back into the markets in sectors like technology, commodities and financials. Gasparino: the worst is over for the financials.
Wireless
Nokia (NOK) bought NAVTEQ (NVT) for $8 billion. Najarian: this takeover suggests to him that M&A is not done. Research In Motion (RIMM) is set to report earnings on Thursday. Adami: if you're not already in Research In Motion don't buy it now. Palm (PALM) reported earnings after the bell Monday and traded lower after-hours. Najarian likes the new Centro smart phone that Palm is introducing and thinks the future is bright for PALM. Finerman: the valuation on NAVTEQ is over done and thinks the deal makes Garmin (GRMN) over valued and recommends buying puts on the GPS maker. Macke agrees with Finerman that Garmin is topped.
Global
Big runs in ETF names like Materials EFT (XLB), Tech ETF (XLK) and Energy ETF (XLF). Adami: companies like Fluor Corp (FLR) are up 87% in 9 months, McDermott (MDR) up 120% since January and Jacobs Engineering (JEC) is up 100% since January. He suspects these stocks are due for a pullback and taking profits in these names isn't a bad idea. Macke: Investors have to chase these stocks. Finerman prefers Flowserve (FLS).
Micron (MU): set to report earnings on Tuesday. Najarian: last week someone bought 27,000 call options on Micron, so keep an eye on it. He also wants investors to put ScanDisk (SNDK) on their watch list after the firm just opened up a plant in China. Adami: Micron is a buy.
Conferences
Investment conferences at Deutsche Bank, Jefferies and William Blair will catch investor's attention this week. Najarian: stocks to watch off these conferences are OSI Systems (OSIS), Cepheid (CPHD) and Manitowoc (MTW).
Earnings Warnings
Macke devised a three point checklist to watch as a warning sign from a firm's earnings reports. Any company that points the finger outside of things they can't control, doesn't have a solution, or has a warning that is 10% below estimates should be avoided. Walgreen's (WAG) gave all three of these today and that's why the stock fell apart. Macke: Don’t buy the dip on Walgreen's.
Pops & Drops
Pops- Time Warner (TWX) traded up 2%. Adami could see the stock moving from $18 to $28, if the CEO is ousted.
BorgWarner (BWA): popped 4% off a bullish Barron's article. Adami: still likes BWA.
Electronic Arts (ERTS): popped 4%. Macke: entire video game sector is going higher into the holidays.
AMR Corp (AMR): traded up 12% off a positive Barron's article. Adami says sell.
First Solar (FSLR): traded up 8%. Najarian continues to point investors to Cypress Semiconductor (CY) as the safest play in the solar space.
Drops- SuperValu (SVU): fell 6% after Bank of America downgraded the stock to a sell. Macke likes SVU right here and right now.
Acxiom (ACXM): plunged 20% after a $2.25 billion takeover offer fell through. Finerman wonders if something could be wrong at the company.
Final Trade
Macke advises buying Caterpillar (CAT).
Adami prefers Tesoro (TSO).
Finerman recommends YUM! Brands (YUM).
Najarian would go long Terra Industries (TRA).

Labels: C, CNBC, Fast Money, Fast Money Recap, GRMN, MDR, NOK, NVT, PALM, RIMM, SNDK, XLB, XLK

Bullish Calls:
Chesapeake Energy (NYSE: CHK - News): 'The whole complex of natural gas is so ridiculously too low. Just because we had a couple of months stored... CHK is a great driller. It's got great assets. I believe that natural gas will come back in vogue.'Wynn Resorts (NasdaqGS: WYNN - News): 'Look, Macau gambling is for real! I've been behind the Macau gambling... I still like Wynn.'Las Vegas Sands (NYSE: LVS - News)Apache (NYSE: APA - News): 'I like APA. It has oil, it has gas, and it's right. It's beaten down, and I would pull the trigger today! 'Schlumberger (NYSE: SLB - News): 'Do you know that Schlumberger is selling at 17x next year's earnings?... This is just a very inexpensive stock... how could I not recommend that unbelievable best-of-breed?...'Helix Energy (NYSE: HLX - News): ' ... as much as I like the HLX... If SLB's selling at 17x earnings, I mean, how could I not recommend that unbelievable best-of-breed?... 'Shaw Group (NYSE: SGR - News): ' ... don't hold me to it, but I think that's going to be good. And SGR is on a remarkable run!... Now, look, understand... We had that horrible bridge tragedy, but all of us know the infrastructure is woefully needing repair. It's SGR. The infrastructure bull market is probably the strongest market on earth!'Fluor (NYSE: FLR - News)McDermott (NYSE: MDR - News)DaimlerChrysler (NYSE: DCX - News)Boeing (NYSE: BA - News): ' ... but I am reiterating absolutely that Boeing is a buy, and the orders will trickle down. It's just that we don't have them right now.'Cisco (NasdaqGS: CSCO - News): ' ... reported a blowout quarter tonight - as we've been predicting endlessly, and finally it happened... Remember, he did announce the $5 billion buyback at the end of his last quarter... buy, buy, buy - CSCO, even above $31. 'Level 3 Communications (NasdaqGS: LVLT - News)Garmin (NasdaqGS: GRMN - News): ' ... conference call for GRMN was amazing. The guide up was huge... GRMN's a keeper! Stay with GRMN - buy, buy, buy! 'Crocs (NasdaqGS: CROX - News)Under Armour (NYSE: UA - News)Temple Inland (NYSE: TIN - News): ' ... Temple Inland remains my favorite, courtesy of Carl Icaan and his restructuring. '
Bearish calls:
Zebra Technologies (NasdaqGS: ZBRA - News): 'I personally think that the bar code business has peaked. It's just not exciting to me. I don't want to be in it. Don't buy, don't buy.'Haynes International (NasdaqGM: HAYN - News): '... didn't report a good quarter..., is the aerospace bull market caput?... I think that there's a big lag between when the (Boeing) Dreamliner gets built, and all of these stocks blow away their numbers... Now it's still painful ... I think this group is going to be on hold, and the better side is the defense stocks right now..'.Starbucks (NasdaqGS: SBUX - News): ' ... I want good, solid growth... and consistent growth... and SBUX can no longer give that to me. Don't buy, don't buy. At $23, I'll pull the trigger.'Juniper Networks (NasdaqGS: JNPR - News): 'I believe that CSCO is better than JNPR. I am telling you - sell, sell, sell - JNPR.'Weyerhauser (NYSE: WY - News): 'They can't deliver.'
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Labels: APA, BA, CHK, CSCO, DCX, FLR, GRMN, HLX, Jim Cramer, JNPR, Lightning Round, LVLT, LVS, Mad Money, MDR, SBUX, SGR, SLB, WYNN, ZBRA

Bullish calls:
Morgan Stanley (NYSE: MS - News): 'I'm a bull about Morgan Stanley.'Goldman Sachs (NYSE: GS - News): 'When Goldman Sachs is down another 5, that, my friends, is better than Morgan Stanley.'Altria (NYSE: MO - News): 'This is a stock to buy on the way down. ... Let's hope that it comes down so we can buy more.'Wachovia (NYSE: WB - News): 'Wachovia Bank's OK here. I'm not going to rave about it.'Bank of America (NYSE: BAC - News): 'That's cheap!'Apple (Other OTC: APPL.PK - News)Amazon.com (NasdaqGS: AMZN - News)Research In Motion (NasdaqGS: RIMM - News)Google (NasdaqGS: GOOG - News)Celgene (NasdaqGS: CELG - News): '... down below 60 was just a gift. It was a gift that would keep giving.'GOL Linhas Areas Inteligentes (NYSE: GOL - News)McDermott (NYSE: MDR - News)Chemical & Mining Co. of Chile (NYSE: SQM - News): 'When it comes to fertilizer, I like to go to Chile. I like to go to SQM.'Potash Corp. of Saskatchewan (NYSE: POT - News): 'Is okay.'Gilead Sciences (NasdaqGS: GILD - News): 'That one's coming down, and so is Celgene. This group does tend to go down when the interest rates go higher.'
Bearish Calls
Rackable Systems (NasdaqGS: RACK - News):' I believe that Rackable Systems represents really bad tech.'Annaly Capital Management (NYSE: NLY - News): 'This is a stock that needs interest rates lower ... At 14, I would buy more.'Foster Wheeler (NasdaqGS: FWLT - News)Knight Capital Group (NasdaqGS: NITE - News): 'I happen to like the management of Knight. ... I don't want to be in Knight ... I don't want to touch them until they're lower.'Rentech (AMEX: RTK - News): 'It is too speculative.'
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Labels: AMZN, APPL.PK, BAC, BBY. RIMM, CELG, GILD, GOL, GOOG, GS, Jim Cramer, Lightning Round, MDR, MO, MS, POT, SQM, WB

Six Bulls: John Deere (NYSE: DE - News), Monsanto (NYSE: MON - News), Sociedad de Chemica (NYSE: SQM - News), Caterpillar Inc. (NYSE: CAT - News), Terex (NYSE: TEX - News), Manitowoc (NYSE: MTW - News), Foster Wheeler (NasdaqGS: FWLT - News), McDermott International (NYSE: MDR - News), Jacobs Engineering (NYSE: JEC - News), Boeing Co. (NYSE: BA - News), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL - News), Royal Dutch Shell (RDS-A), Exxon Mobil (NYSE: XOM - News), Freeport McMoran (NYSE: FCX - News), Lundin Mining (AMEX: LMC - News)
Cramer dedicated the program to discussing six bull markets and recommending stock picks for each sector.
Agriculture: Cramer commented on a "disturbing" editorial in the New York Times which called for an end to agricultural subsidies, but he is confident the policy will never be enacted. Cramer calls Deere "money in the bank" and notes that it sells at 16x earnings and has a 12% growth rate. While Monsanto, which trades at 35 x earings "will never be cheap," Cramer says its 24% growth rate is worth the price at $60, and he would buy it up to $70. The Chilean fertilizer company, SQM, is the world's largest supplier of lithium which goes into batteries and will be in shorter supply as "the greening movement reaches its nauseating zenith."
Machinery While he confesses amazement that CAT is stalled, Cramer says it is "preposterously cheap" trading at 13x earnings with 12% growth. He adds CAT has great international exposure, will benefit from the collapse of its Japanese competitors, and is a solid infrastructure play. While he also likes TEX and MTW, Cramer thinks CAT is still best-of-breed.
Infrastructure: Cramer calls this the "wildest" bull market which will benefit from oil prices and the need to create alernative power plants and petroleum infrastructure. Even though Foster Wheeler and McDermott International have had "tremendous runs" Cramer notes FWLT sells at just 17x next years earnings with 34% growth, and MDR has 14% growth and sells at 17x earnings. He adds these stocks do not get enough coverage on Wall Street, and would buy them. Cramer gives Jacob's Engineering and honorable mention, although is more expensive than the other two.
Aerospace:Boeing is up only 10% when the rest of the sector has risen 22%, and Cramer comments, "It's a laggard. It should be leading." Boeing sells at 20x earnings and has 18% growth. He thinks the company has a good future given the health of the sector, its international business, and some "amazingly-terrible problems at AirBus."
Oil and Gas: After a run for this sector, it was down on Tuesday; "People are just thinking it's over, because oil is down 2 bucks," said Cramer and he expressed confidence that the sector would bounce back. In spite of its "giant" buyback, "robust" outlook for oil and gas and its international exposure, Cramer notes HAL is down 12% from last year. Cramer likes Royal Dutch Shell with 10x earnings, 8% sales growth, and a yield at nearly 4%. While Exxon Mobil was down on Tuesday, it is still "a go-name for big institutions."
Minerals: Cramer says rumors of full copper inventories are "nonsense," because the Chinese need more copper. He likes copper play FCX and says its gold is a good hedge against inflation. He notes the company sells at only 9x earnings, but he predicts a 12x multiple. Cramer added the quarter was not good due to strikes and the cost of its Phelps Dodge deal, but predicts it will benefit from copper demand. He also likes Lundin which he thinks will go from $12 to $15 on the Tenke Mining deal in late June.
Published By SeekingAlpha

Labels: BA, CAT, DE, FCX, FWLT, HAL, JEC, Jim Cramer, LMC, Mad Money, MDR, MON, MTW, SQM, TEX, XOM

Here are 7 options to watch for today. This list comes directly from the TradingMarkets Options Indicators page. The list is created using OptionVue options analysis software.
Most Underpriced Calls: These are the most under priced calls of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Explosion List finds groups of calls for individual equities that are under priced, this list finds the most under priced individual calls. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely under priced.
First Solar Inc. June 80 Calls (NasdaqGM:FSLR - News). FSLR's PowerRating not available due to less than 200 days trading history.
Most Underpriced Puts: These are the most under priced puts of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Explosion List finds groups of puts for individual equities that are under priced, this list finds the most under priced individual puts. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely under priced.
Weyerhauser June 80 Puts (NYSE:WY - News). WY's PowerRating is 5.
Most Overpriced Calls: These are the most overpriced calls of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Implosion List finds groups of calls for individual equities that are overpriced, this list finds the most overpriced individual calls. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely overpriced.
Apple Inc. July 105 Calls (NasdaqGS:AAPL - News). AAPL's PowerRating is 3.
Most Overpriced Puts: These are the most overpriced puts of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Implosion List finds groups of puts for individual equities that are overpriced, this list finds the most overpriced individual puts. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely overpriced.
Dendreon May 17.5 Puts (NasdaqGM:DNDN - News). DNDN's PowerRating is 2.
Stocks with Abnormal Call Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual call option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Call Volume Alerts list suggests a possible takeover, extraordinarily good earnings report, or other news which may favorably affect the stock.
McDermott International (NYSE:MDR - News). MDR's PowerRating is 4.
Pride International (NYSE:PDE - News). PDE's PowerRating is 4.
Stocks with Abnormal Put Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual put option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Put Volume Alerts list suggests an extraordinarily negative earnings report, or other news which may negatively affect the stock.
None today
Abnormal Put/Call $ Volume: These stocks have the highest dollar put volume in relation to their call volume. These high ratios are indicative of extreme bearish sentiment in the underlying stock.
Hovnanian Enterprises (NYSE:HOV - News) . HOV's PowerRating is 5.
PowerRatings are courtesy of TradingMarkets.com

Labels: AAPL, DNDN, FSLR, HOV, MDR, PDE, stock options, WY

Good As Golden Star Resources (AMEX: GSS - News)
Cramer likes GSS as a way to play the CNBC Million Dollar Portfolio Challenge. The company operates in South America and Africa, and is therefore highly speculative, but has a large mine in Ghana, "an island of stability." The bears are worried about a sulfide-processing plant GSS is building in Ghana, but Cramer thinks investors should use this anxiety as an opportunity to buy. He predicts the announcement of a new plant, which will double production and lower costs, will be sooner than expected. With this news, analysts will raise their numbers and the stock will go higher. Cramer also believes GSS may be taken over, and he likes the sector, since gold is moving up. Cramer would not swap out of best-of-breed Yamana to buy GSS, but likes the price at $4.46, and urges investors to use limit orders when buying.
Laser King: Ionatron (NasdaqGM: IOTN), Palomar Medical Technologies (NasdaqGS: PMTI), Syneron Medical (NasdaqGS: ELOS), Cynosure (NasdaqGM: CYNO)
Cramer noted that last Friday's laser pick, IOTN has risen 17% since his recommendation, and he decided to choose a new "laser king." Cramer has liked PMTI in the past and declared ELOS the "czar of lasers" when he was discussing cosmetic laser procedures. Now CYNO wears the laser king crown, since it has doubled while ELOS hasn't moved. In addition, CYNO has 30% growth and is levered to the rest of the world. Cramer added he prefers "a performer that's pricey" to "an underperformer that's cheap." PMTI is Cramer's second-best pick, but is more costly than CYNO, and he likes ELOS, but doesn't see it going up in the near future.
Game Plan for the Coming Week: Fluor (NYSE: FLR - News), McDermott International (NYSE: MDR - News), Foster Wheeler (NasdaqGS: FWLT), CVS/Caremark (NYSE: CVS - News), Dynegy (NYSE: DYN - News), Nabors (NYSE: NBR - News), Halliburton (NYSE: HAL - News), Parker Drilling (NYSE: PKD - News), Forest Oil (NYSE: FST - News), L-1 Identity Solutions (NYSE: ID - News), Precision Castparts (NYSE: PCP - News), Six Flags (NYSE: SIX - News), Syntax-Brillan (NasdaqGM: BRLC)
Cramer suggesting looking at infrastructure, especially MDR, FLR, and FWLT which are "terrific" companies and which should benefit from high oil prices. He would establish half a position before their reports and half after, and would buy the stocks on any weakness. On Monday, he would also buy FST. Cramer praises CVS as having "valued itself even further into the health care heaven" with its cheap Caremark purchase, and would buy ahead of its Tuesday report, adding he also likes DYN. PKD, which also reports on Tuesday, may be bought by NBR or HAL which discussed expansion during their conference calls, Cramer commented. His Wednesday picks include ID, PCP and SIX. Since the LCD TV sector is improving, Cramer likes BRLC which reports on Thursday after the markets close.
CEO Interview: Nolan Archibald, Black and Decker (NYSE: BDK - News)
Nolan Archibald says BDK's report was strong because of the company's "great brands and innovative products" which thrive in down times. BDK is featuring new Dewalt brand products including concrete breakers, hammers and generators. Archibald added the company is going to continue buying back shares. Cramer commented BDK is "the real deal" and sees it rising from $92.36 to $100.
Published By SeekingAlpha

Labels: BDK, CVS, DYN, ELOS, FLR, FST, GSS, HAL, ID, Jim Cramer, Mad Money, MDR, NBR, PCP, PKD, PMTI, SIX

Here are 7 stocks for traders for Friday from TradingMarkets.com:
Dell (NasdaqGS:DELL - News) missed earnings Thursday after the bell; analysts were looking for $0.28 EPS, but the company only reported $0.26 EPS. DELL's PowerRating is 5.
Kohl's (NYSE:KSS - News) beat earnings on Thursday afternoon with $1.48 EPS over a consensus of $1.43 EPS. KSS's PowerRating is 7.
McDermott (NYSE:MDR - News) beat earnings expectations on Thursday afternoon, announcing $0.73 EPS over analyst predictions of $0.68 EPS. MDR's PowerRating is 7.
Fluor (NYSE:FLR - News) beat earnings on Thursday after the close, announcing $0.90 EPS over an expected $0.60 EPS. FLR's PowerRating is 6.
Dresser-Rand (NYSE:DRC - News) reports quarterly earnings on Friday before the market opens, with analysts looking for $0.46 EPS. DRC's PowerRating is 6.
Horizon Lines (NYSE:HRZ - News) is set to announce $0.32 EPS on Friday morning before the open. HRZ's PowerRating is 7.
When Methode Electronics (NasdaqGS:METH - News) reports earnings before the bell on Friday, watch for $0.09 EPS.
PowerRatings are courtesy of PowerRatings.net

Labels: DELL, DRC, FLR, Hot Stocks, HRZ, KSS, MDR, METH

NYSE (NYSE: NYX - News): Cramer would buy NYX at a little over $90 because he predicts it will reach $200 when investors comprehend the value of its Euronext acquisition with its large number of overseas listings.
TXU (NYSE: TXU - News), McDermott (NYSE: MDR - News), Foster Wheeler (NasdaqGS: FWLT), Louisiana-Pacific (NYSE: LPX - News), Easman Chemical (NYSE: EMN - News), International Paper (NYSE: IP - News): Infrastructure is going to be "en fuego" on the TXU buyout, says Cramer who adds those who are shorting MDR are "going to have their bells rung." He suggests buying MDR and notes FWLT is down a bit too. Cramer calls EMN "cheap, cheap cheap!" and identifies IP and LPX, a stock "nobody cares about," as takeover candidates.

Labels: EMN, IP, Jim Cramer, Jim Cramer's Stop Trading, LPX, MDR, NYX, TXU

"Pipeline Play": Biosite (NasdaqGS: BSTE)
Cramer wanted viewers to take a look at Biosite which will be in demand if the Democrats "storm the winter palace" in November, because the money will go out of Big Pharma into "small, diagnostic plays." He likes the fact that Biotech is new and not yet played out, and comments that this producer of diagnostic tests keeps reinvesting money into new products. Cramer added Biosite is "sitting on top of a new product cycle," and should see an upside as well as more analyst coverage. He also predicts a short squeeze which should bring the stock up, and notes the company implemented a 12% buyback of its stock, and Fidelity is increasing its stake in the company from 12% to 15%. Cramer likes Biosite as a "pipeline story" and thinks the shorts are going to be sorry.
Here Comes the Sun Microsystems (NasdaqGS: SUNW)
Cramer declares that SUNW, a stock he has "hated for a very long time," is now an "under -$10 turnaround" because its new management is making serious changes by cutting costs and continuing to improve its sales. However, he cautions against impulse buying, and urges investors to find a good entry point and not to buy before Monday afternoon. Cramer sees upgrade potential, notes that its server business is "en fuego" and its software business is strong. He reminds investors to use limit orders when buying.

The Week Ahead: GlobalSantaFe (NYSE: GSF - News), Marvell Technology (NasdaqGS: MRVL), Analog Devices (NYSE: ADI - News), Blockbuster (NYSE: BBI - News), Dynegy (NYSE: DYN - News), Foster Wheeler (NasdaqGS: FWLT), McDermott (NYSE: MDR - News), Charter Communications (NasdaqGM: CHTR), Sprint (NYSE: S - News), Gap (NYSE: GPS - News), Viacom , and VeriFone (NYSE: PAY - News)
On Monday, Cramer suggests buying GSF before it reports a "blowout quarter" and would pick up MRVL after its disappointing report. He sees hope for MRVL because ADI indicated the worst is over in the chip inventory cycle. Cramer says investors should sell BBI before Tuesday and buy some back after a selloff, and he would do the same with DYN. He predicts strong earnings for FWLT and MDR, would buy CHTR ahead of its report, and would only pick up Sprint if it has an "incredibly miserable" quarter. Cramer also suggests taking a look at GPS, Viacom and PAY.
Mad Mail: Sirius Satellite Radio (NasdaqGS: SIRI) and XM Satellite Radio (NasdaqGS: XMSR)
When faced with a potential merger, Cramer says it is better to buy stock in the stronger rather than the weaker company, because even if the deal is off, the better company will rise.
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Labels: ADI, BBI, BSTE, CHTR, DYN, FWLT, GPS, GSF, Jim Cramer, Mad Money, MDR, MRVL, PAY, S, SIRI, SUNW, XMS