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Monday, January 21, 2008

Jim Cramer's Stop Trading Jan. 18th

Jim Cramer outlined his own version of an economic stimulus plan on CNBC's "Stop Trading!" segment Friday.
The plan put forth by Treasury Secretary Hank Paulson "doesn't make any sense," Cramer said. "It's obviously a good boost for Apple (AAPL) ... Maybe a boost for Men's Wearhouse (MW)."
The real problem, Cramer said, is in the banks. "Every day you come in here, and your bank stocks are down." The source of all the trouble is the bond insurers, specifically MBIA (MBI), Ambac (ABK), PMI (PMI) and MGIC (MTG), he added.
Cramer's plan, he said, declares the bond insurers bankrupt, then "gives the municipal bonds over to Warren Buffett. ... It takes all these loans ... $500 billion ... and guarantees these loans for 50 cents on the dollar. ... It would cost us far less than the stimulus plan, and it would rally the stock market."
Cramer acknowledged the plan had some negative elements. "There are actual people that work at these companies; I feel bad about them," he said. But he says that the insurers are the reason that America's large banks can't determine their exposure to bad paper.
If, as Cramer believes, those four bond insurers are insolvent, the government can take them over. That, combined with a fed funds rate cut of 100 basis points would result in a gain of 2,000 points for the stock market.
Source: TheStreet.com

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Friday, November 02, 2007

CNBC's Fast Money Recap Nov. 1st

The Dow dropped 362 points and the Nasdaq fell 64 points Thursday, crushing the stock market. The Chairman & CEO of Merriman Curhan Ford & Co, Jonathan Merriman, joined the show to discuss stocks he feels have potential in the selloff. Merriman likes Smith & Wesson (SWHC) here and thinks it's a huge opportunity to buy the stock while it's low. Macke still likes video game stocks like Electronic Arts (ERTS) and Activision (ATVI). Adami recommends buying Aministaff (ASF). Finerman likes NYMEX (NMX) and Crocs (CROX). Merriman thinks she is very early to be buying CROX here. Najarian favors Manitowoc (MTW).
The founder and president of Seabreeze partner, Doug Kass, joined the show to give his take on the mortgage insurers. Kass thinks names like Ambac (ABK), PMI Group
(PMI) and MBIA (MBI) don't have enough capital to keep running. Kass also says his sources are telling him that Citigroup (C) will get rid of CEO Chuck Prince this weekend. Charlie Gasparino joined the show to discuss his take on the CEO turmoil at Citigroup and agrees with Kass and expects that Citigroup CEO, Chuck Prince, is about to get the axe.
Najarian feels that Bear Stearns (BSC) and Merrill Lynch (MER) would benefit the most from a management change. Finerman is long Goldman Sachs (GS) and short Merrill.
Word on the Street
Crude oil traded over $96 before selling off to close at $93. Adami was surprised that Exxon Mobil (XOM) didn't go lower on Thursday. He sees the valuation on Chevron (CVX) as compelling and there could be a buying opportunity in the stock. Tesoro (TSO) is another name to look at here.
Microsoft (MSFT) bucked the trend on Thursday and finished the day up. Macke still likes Hewlett-Packard (HPQ).
Las Vegas Sands (LVS) plunged 17% after hours on a bearish earnings report.
Pops & Drops
Pops- Investment Technology Group (ITG) traded up 2%.
United Therapeutics (UTHR) popped 38% higher after study results showed its inhaled-high blood drug.
Drops- Sprint Nextel (S) fell 3% after profits fell 73% in the third quarter.
Manitowoc (MTW) fell 11% off of concerns for the crane maker's backlog.
Garmin (GRMN) fell 7% on concerns over a bidding war with TomTom for Tele Atlas.
Target (TGT) fell 5%.
Face2Face
Cathy asked if Google, Apple (AAPL) and Research In Motion (RIMM) trying to beat each other for the highest share price? Macke says Apple and Research In Motion have split. He advised Cathy not to believe the hype on stock splits just buy less shares.
Scot from Virginia asked if Adami liked Fluor (FLR). Adami still likes Fluor and he feels the story is still intact.
Another writer asked what Finerman is going to do with BEA Systems (BEAS) with the Oracle (ORCL) deal off. Finerman thinks by the end of the day we will see a deal with Oracle and BEA Systems.
John said he owns some Dicks Sporting Goods (DKS) and knows Najarian likes them as well based partially on their sales of names like Under Armour (UA), Nike (NKE) and Crocs. He asked if the recent sell-off based on Croc's numbers and does this change your bullish sentiment on the company? Najarian tells John that even though there are some concerns for Dicks Sporting Goods, right now he still likes the company.
Final Trade
Macke would buy Electronic Arts (ERTS) on a dip.
Adami favors Intel (INTC).
Finerman prefers Flowserve (FLS).
Najarian recommends buying Cypress Semiconductor (CY) for a solar play.

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Wednesday, October 24, 2007

Jim Cramer's Stop Trading Oct. 23th

Sell Coach (COH), Jim Cramer said Tuesday on CNBC's Stop Trading! segment.
Cramer said he was wrong with a call last quarter to buy the accessories retailer in the low $40s. That fact came to light Tuesday morning, when Coach issued cautious year-end guidance, sending its shares plunging 13% in furious trading, to $36 and change.
Cramer doesn't like the mortgage insurers either. He'd be selling PMI (PMI) and MGIC (MTG) off yesterday's Lehman Bros. downgrade of the sector.
"They sliced through book value," Cramer said of the mortgage insurance stocks, which were each off 11% in heavy trading Tuesday after similar declines Friday.

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Monday, February 05, 2007

Biggest Decliners Monday

Alaska Air Group Inc. (NYSE:ALK - News) said January traffic at its Alaska Airlines' unit fell 0.8% while its capacity rose 2.8%. That translated to a fall in load factor, or percentage of seats filled with paying passengers, to 66.5% from 69%. Horizon Air January traffic rose 0.3%, its capacity rose 2.6%, translating to a load factor fall to 63.3% from 64.7%.
Anadarko Petroleum (NYSE:APA - News) said it expects a charge of roughly $100 million related to Algeria's new "exceptional profits" tax, which applies when monthly average Brent Crude prices exceed $30 per barrel. The energy exploration and production company said Monday the charge represents an estimated liability for the period from Aug. 1 through Dec. 31. The Houston company expects a relief because Anadarko operates its Algerian assets under a production-sharing contract that includes a stabilization clause, which is designed to protect the investment and related asset value.
Bisys Group (NYSE:BSG - News) filed its Form 10-Q for the period ended Sept. 30, 2006, and reported net income of $14 million, compared with $13.4 million during the year-ago period. Revenue for the first fiscal quarter of 2007 was $211.5 million vs. $205.7 million.
British Airways (NYSE:BAB - News) reported a 2.8% drop in passenger traffic in January, due to flights being cancelled on the risk of a strike by its cabin crew. Its passenger load factor, a measure of passengers to available seats, dropped 3 percentage points to 69.5%. The market continues to show good demand in premium cabins. The weakness in some non-premium segments is also still a feature, the airline said.
Burger King Holdings Inc. (NYSE:BKC - News) filed to sell 20 million shares from selling stockholders, including entities managed by Bain Capital, Goldman Sachs and Texas Pacific Group. Based on its closing price of $20.28 a share on Friday, the stock offering will raise about $406 million. The offering comes after Burger King held its initial public offering of 25 million shares at $17 a share on May 18, 2006.
Columbia Laboratories' (NasdaqGM:CBRX - News) shares plummeted 69% to $1.44 in Monday morning trade after the Livingston, N.J.-based company announced late Sunday that its Phase III clinical trial of progesterone for the prevention of preterm birth did not achieve any reduction in the incidence of preterm birth at week 32, the primary endpoint. Progesterone also did not reduce the incidence of preterm birth at weeks 28, 35 and 37, the secondary endpoints of the study. Robert Mills, Columbia's chief executive, called the results "extremely disappointing."
Electronic Arts (NasdaqGS:ERTS - News) was downgraded to neutral from overweight at J.P. Morgan. The firm cited valuation and competition from a strong line up of games at its competitors. The broker added another possibility is that the industry could witness further hardware shipment cuts, which could limit demand for Electronic Arts' new titles.
Lexmark International (NYSE:LXK - News) was downgraded to reduce from neutral at UBS.
Majesco Entertainment Co. (NasdaqCM:COOL - News) said its financial statements for the fiscal year ended Oct. 31, 2006 contain a going concern modification. According to a Jan. 29 filing, the company's auditors have issued an opinion indicating that there is substantial doubt about the company's ability to continue as a going concern because Majesco has incurred net losses for the years ended Oct. 31, 2005 and 2006.
The McClatchy Co. (NYSE:MNI - News) was cut to market perform from outperform at Wachovia, which cited valuation and the continuing challenges in the advertising market, especially in the real estate category. "When we initiated coverage of the stock with an outperform rating, we thought the company would be able to increase its estimated cost savings related to the Knight Ridder deal. However, we now think any upside will be more than offset by revenue declines," Wachovia said. "While the stock has been weak, we think continued downward revisions of consensus estimates will make it difficult for the stock to trade materially higher," it added.
Midas Inc. (NYSE:MDS - News) said it plans to record a charge of $1.9 million in the fourth quarter related to closing six unprofitable company-owned shops in Florida. The company also said it expects a decline in U.S. comparable shop sales of 1.7% for the fourth quarter and 1.5% for the full year, citing lower advertising than in the year-ago period.
Nathan's Famous Inc. (NasdaqGM:NATH - News) reported third-quarter earnings of $1.1 million, or 17 cents a share, up from a year-ago profit of $770,000, or 12 cents a share.
NewMarket (NYSE:NEU - News) shares fell after the Richmond, Va.-based maker of chemical additives late Friday reported fourth-quarter net earnings of $4.5 million, or 26 cents a share, down from $11.1 million, or 64 cents a share, in the year-ago period. Excluding special items, the company posted a per-share profit of 60 cents vs. 46 cents. Revenue rose to $306.2 million from $293.7 million.
Overstock.com (NasdaqGM:OSTK - News) filed a lawsuit in the Superior Court of California, County of San Francisco seeking damages of $3.48 billion against a group of companies it says control over 80% of the prime brokerage market. The company also reported a fourth-quarter loss that widened to $40.7 million, or $1.92 a share, from $6.28 million, or 33 cents a share, a year earlier, hurt by lower revenue and increased expenses. The Salt Lake City-based online closeout retailer said revenue fell 6% to $297.5 million from $318 million a year earlier on lower traffic rates and smaller gross margins. Analysts polled by Thomson Financial expected, on average, a fourth-quarter loss of 85 cents a share on revenue of $305.7 million.
PMI Group (NYSE:PMI - News) said fourth-quarter net income fell 7% to $100.5 million, though earnings per share rose 7% to $1.19 a share, in line with analyst forecasts. Revenue rose 12% to $318 million. The profit declines amid loss reserve additions in U.S. mortgage insurance operations and an increase in total incurred losses in PMI Australia.
Regal-Beloit Corp. (NYSE:RBC - News) reported fourth-quarter earnings of $23 million, or 68 cents a share, up from a year-ago profit of $20.3 million, or 63 cents a share. Net sales slipped 2.5% in the latest three months to $366.6 million from $376.2 million in the same period a year earlier. The average estimate of analysts polled by Thomson First Call was for a profit of 68 cents a share in the December period.
Royal Caribbean Cruises (NYSE:RCL - News) said fourth-quarter net income for the three months ended Dec. 31 rose to $46.6 million, or 22 cents a share, from a loss of $3.6 million, or 2 cents a share in the year-ago period. Revenue rose to $1.15 billion from $1 billion. Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial forecast earnings of 20 cents a share and revenue of $1.16 billion, on average. The cruise line expects first-quarter income of 3 to 8 cents a share. The current analyst estimate is 32 cents a share. For the full year, Royal Caribbean forecast earnings of $3.05-$3.20, compared to the analyst estimate of $3.15 a share.
State Street Corp. (NYSE:STT - News) has agreed to buy Investors Financial Services Corp. (NasdaqGS:IFIN - News) for around $4.5 billion in stock. Investors Financial shareholders will receive 0.906 shares of State Street common stock for each share held, based upon the closing price of State Street common stock on February 2. Approximately 62 million State Street common shares will be issued in the transaction. The transaction is expected to be dilutive to State Street's operating earnings in 2007, neutral to earnings in 2008 on an operating basis, lift earnings in 2008 on a cash basis and lift operating earnings in 2009, based on anticipated pre-tax cost savings of approximately $345 million to $365 million during the first two years following closing. State Street expects to take restructuring charges of between $625 million to $675 million.
Transmeta Corp. (NasdaqGM:TMTA - News) shares tumbled after the company said it's streamlining its operations to focus on its core business of intellectual property licensing. The company plans to decrease its workforce by roughly 39% as part of the restructuring, shedding about 75 employees, mostly in its engineering services businesses.
Unitrin Inc. (NYSE:UTR - News) reported fourth-quarter net earnings of $61.6 million, or 91 cents a share, down 29% from $86.7 million, or $1.26 a share, in the year-ago period. Revenue at the Chicago-based financial services company rose to $763.9 million from $755.9 million.
YRC Worldwide (NasdaqGS:YRCW - News) was downgraded to neutral from outperform at Credit Suisse.

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Stock Watch for Monday

BE Aerospace (NasdaqGS:BEAV - News) announces earnings on Monday before the open, with analysts looking for $0.26 EPS. BEAV's PowerRating is 4.
Cognizant Tech (NasdaqGS:CTSH - News) is looking to report $0.43 EPS before the market opens on Monday. CTSH's PowerRating is 5.
Hewitt Associates (NYSE:HEW - News) is expected to announce $0.24 EPS on Monday morning. HEW's PowerRating is 5.
Analysts are watching for Humana (NYSE:HUM - News) to report $0.88 EPS on Monday morning before the market opens. HUM's PowerRating is 5.
Watch for PMI Group (NYSE:PMI - News) to announce $1.19 EPS when the company reports quarterly earnings Monday morning. PMI's PowerRating is 5.
Regal-Beloit (NYSE:RBC - News) should report $0.68 EPS on Monday morning. RBC's PowerRating is 4.
When Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL - News) announces quarterly earnings, watch for $0.20 EPS. RCL's PowerRating is 5.
PowerRatings are courtesy of PowerRatings.net

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Friday, February 02, 2007

Hot Stocks to Watch Monday

Here are 7 stocks for traders for Monday from TradingMarkets.com:
BE Aerospace (NasdaqGS:BEAV - News) announces earnings on Monday before the open, with analysts looking for $0.26 EPS. BEAV's PowerRating is 4.
Cognizant Tech (NasdaqGS:CTSH - News) is looking to report $0.43 EPS before the market opens on Monday. CTSH's PowerRating is 5.
Hewitt Associates (NYSE:HEW - News) is expected to announce $0.24 EPS on Monday morning. HEW's PowerRating is 5.
Analysts are watching for Humana (NYSE:HUM - News) to report $0.88 EPS on Monday morning before the market opens. HUM's PowerRating is 5.
Watch for PMI Group (NYSE:PMI - News) to announce $1.19 EPS when the company reports quarterly earnings Monday morning. PMI's PowerRating is 5.
Regal-Beloit (NYSE:RBC - News) should report $0.68 EPS on Monday morning. RBC's PowerRating is 4.
When Royal Caribbean (NYSE:RCL - News) announces quarterly earnings, watch for $0.20 EPS. RCL's PowerRating is 5.
PowerRatings are courtesy of PowerRatings.net

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Friday, December 08, 2006

Stock Options to Watch Today

Here are 7 options to watch for today. This list comes directly from the TradingMarkets Options Indicators page. The list is created using OptionVue options analysis software.
Most Under Priced Calls: These are the most under priced calls of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Explosion List finds groups of calls for individual equities that are under priced, this list finds the most under priced individual calls. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely under priced.
Paccar Inc. (NASDAQ:PCAR - News) Jan 65.0. PCAR's PowerRating is 6.
Most Under Priced Puts: These are the most under priced puts of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Explosion List finds groups of puts for individual equities that are under priced, this list finds the most under priced individual puts. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely under priced.
Bank of America (NYSE:BAC - News) Jan 55.0. BAC's PowerRating is 6.
Most Overpriced Calls: These are the most overpriced calls of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Implosion List finds groups of calls for individual equities that are overpriced, this list finds the most overpriced individual calls. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely overpriced.
Knot Inc. (NASDAQ:KNOT - News) Jan 25.0. KNOT's PowerRating is 5.
Most Overpriced Puts: These are the most overpriced puts of all stocks in our database. While the Equities Implosion List finds groups of puts for individual equities that are overpriced, this list finds the most overpriced individual puts. Thus, the options listed here will tend to be more severely overpriced.
Google Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOG - News) Jan 430.0. GOOG's PowerRating is 6.
Stocks with Abnormal Call Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual call option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Call Volume Alerts list suggests a possible takeover, extraordinarily good earnings report, or other news which may favorably affect the stock.
PMI Group Inc. (NYSE:PMI - News). PMI's PowerRating is 5.
Stocks with Abnormal Put Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual put option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Put Volume Alerts list suggestsan extraordinarily negative earnings report, or other news which may negatively affect the stock.
Countrywide Financial Corp. (NYSE:CFC - News). CFC's PowerRating is 5.
Abnormal Put/Call $ Volume: These stocks have the highest dollar put volume in relation to their call volume. These high ratios are indicative of extreme bearish sentiment in the underlying stock.
General Motors Corp. (NYSE:GM - News). GM's PowerRating is 7.

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