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Wednesday, December 06, 2006

Jim Cramer's Mad Money Stock Recap Dec. 5


Risky Business: Boston Scientific (NYSE: BSX - News) and Johnson & Johnson (NYSE: JNJ - News)
Cramer says that the choice between BSX and JNJ is like a litmus test to determine how much risk an investor is willing to take. This Thursday, the FDA will decide whether controversial drug-coated stents will remain on the market. BSX and JNJ both make stents and have been hammered on news reports detailing health risks associated with the devices. Buying BSX on Wednesday would be "the higher risk, higher reward trade," while JNJ is more diversified and is less dependent on the FDA ruling, which will cause BSX to soar if it approves stents and will crush the stocks if stents are banned. "Buy it with money you are not afraid to lose and you can afford to lose," he said, and advised trading BSX as soon as it goes up. Cramer also suggested taking age into consideration when weighing risks, and would not invest in risky stocks after the age of 50, since younger investors can more easily recoup their losses. Cramer thinks that JNJ will go up on FDA approval of stents, but not as much as BSX will, although BSX has more downside, and ultimately a sense of one's own risk tolerance is essential when making decisions.
Great Outdoors: Timberland (NYSE: TBL - News), VF. Corp (NYSE: VFC - News)
Cramer identifies TBL as an attractive takeover option for VFC, whose CEO Mackey McDonald did not rule out such an acquisition when he was interviewed by Cramer on last week's Mad Money. VFC has "tremendous bargaining power" and could get Timerberland into more stores. Even if the outdoor apparel maker fails to find a buyer, it has strong sales in Asia, a lot of cash and a good buyback program, although its fundamentals are a bit weak. "VF could do some great things here and I don't see any reason for it not to buy Timberland," Cramer said.

Mad Mail: Rite Aid (NYSE: RAD - News), Wal-Mart (NYSE: WMT - News), New York Stock Exchange (NYSE: NYX - News), Nymex (NYSE: NMX - News)
Responding to a letter, Cramer said that Rite Aid is his favorite speculative play and is rising because customers can walk to its stores, unlike Wal-Mart, which is located far away from residential areas. Cramer told another viewer that he prefers NYX to NMX, but would let the latter stock come down a bit before picking it up.

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Sunday, December 03, 2006

Jim Cramer's Mad Money Stock Recap Dec. 1

Golden Opportunity: Yamana Gold (AMEX: AUY - News), Barrick Gold (NYSE: ABX - News), Newmont Mining (NYSE: NEM - News), Compania de Minas (NYSE: BVN - News)
Cramer observes that investors are flocking to gold because when they see that the dollar is down and bonds are rallying, they assume that the economy is in decline and "They want to sell all of their stocks and buy gold." Although Cramer believes that the economy is still healthy, perceptions of weakness will be good for gold, since "yellow metal will always be the refuge when times are tough." His favorite stock in the sector is AUY which is "on a roll" at its 52-week high, even though other gold companies such as Barrick Gold and Newmont Mining do not have strong growth prospects. He prefers AUY to BVN because the latter is not a pure play and mines in Peru, which is shaky politically.
Stock of the Year: Allegheny Technologies (NYSE: ATI - News) and Boeing (NYSE: BA - News)
Cramer predicted that ATI would be one of the best-performing stocks of 2006, and with a 144% increase to $88.06 from $36.05 last year, ATI has been rated as the top performer of the S&P 500. Investors should take some profits from ATI, but it's success is still a "cue to buy" and is worth picking up because steel and titanium are still in bull mode and ATI produces metals for BA, and will benefit from gains in the aerospace sector. Cramer reassures investors that these metals are less cyclical than regular steel and not to be worried about ATI's huge run: "Don't be scared --- be a buyer!"
Allegheny Tech (NYSE: ATI - News), Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA - News), OfficeMax (NYSE: OMX - News), Big Lots (NYSE: BIG - News), and Nucor (NYSE: NUE - News)
Usually Cramer avoids relying on past trends since stocks behave differently from year to year, but he noted that from 1985 to 2005, the S&P index has been up at the beginning of December, and the trend has been most notable in the past three years. In spite of worries about the market, Cramer suggested investors check out the top five stocks in the index: Allegheny Tech, Nvidia, OfficeMax, Big Lots and Nucor. Cramer says that Nvidia, which is up 94% since last year, is a buy as a play on video-game graphics. Although OMX faces fierce competition with Staples (NASDAQ: SPLS - News), it is a good momentum trade, and also prefers it to Big Lots. Cramer would pick up ATI instead of Nucor, which is up 80%. Cramer suggested putting half a position in ATI, Nvidia and Office Max, to buy the other half if the numbers are low on Friday, and to hold the stocks at least until December 31.
CEO Interview: Mackey McDonald VF Corp (NYSE: VFC - News)
When asked about the apparent bubble in apparel stocks, Mackey McDonald replied, "If you're marketing stronger brands with great new innovative products then there's a lot more room for improvement. And I'd put VF Corp into that category." McDonald said that the North Face brand has a "broad" appeal among consumers, especially those who are interested in the outdoors. When Cramer commented that perhaps VF should buy Timberland (NYSE: TBL - News), McDonald was reluctant to discuss specific acquisitions. Cramer gave VF Corp two thumbs way up.
Published By SeekingAlpha

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