Jim Cramer Blog

Target (NYSE:TGT) reported earnings today before the open, beating analyst estimates by three cents. The Short Term PowerRating for TGT is 4.
An analyst report suggesting that Chinese demand for metals lead to lower prices for shares of stocks like Alcoa (NYSE:AA), which was down more than 3% on the day. The Short Term PowerRating for AA is 2.
Home Depot (NYSE:HD) announced earnings beat lowered estimates but failed to truly impress traders and investors, who sent the stock lower by more than 5% on Tuesday. The Short Term PowerRating for HD is 5.
Solarfun Power (NasdaqGM:SOLF) reports earnings Wednesday morning before the open, with analysts expecting EPS of $1.12. The Short Term PowerRating for SOLF is 1.
Expanding its services to allow customers to watch content downloaded from the Internet on their televisions, Netflix (NasdaqGS:NFLX) was up by more than 3% in Tuesday trading. The Short Term PowerRating for NFLX is 5.
Added to Goldman Sachs "conviction buy list" today, Humana (NYSE:HUM) was one of the largest gainers in the S&P 500 today. The Short Term PowerRating for HUM is 3.
Discounts on women's clothing and accessories did not prevent Saks (NYSE:SKS) from missing analyst estimates in its earnings report on Tuesday. Saks finished the day down more than 6%. The Short Term PowerRating for SKS is 4.

Labels: AA, HD, Hot Stocks, HUM, NFLX, SKS, SOLF, TGT

Here are 7 stocks for traders for Thursday from TradingMarkets.com:
Christopher & Banks (NYSE:CBK - News) reports earnings after the bell on Thursday, with traders looking for $0.28 EPS. CBK's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
Verifone (NYSE:PAY - News) is expecting to report $0.38 EPS on Thursday afternoon after the bell. PAY's PowerRating (for Traders) is 1.
Target (NYSE:TGT - News) fell over 2% today after announcing that December sales may decline following a weak post-Thanksgiving period. TGT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Macy's (NYSE:M - News) fell nearly 6% on the retail sales warning from Target. M does not have a PowerRating (for Traders) due to its short trading history.
Big Lots (NYSE:BIG - News) dropped nearly 6%, in line with an industry-wide decline. BIG's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Evergreen Solar (NasdaqGM:ESLR - News) rallied over 9% today after China announced plans to pursue and develop alternative energy sources. ESLR's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
Amazon.com (NasdaqGS:AMZN - News) rallied over 2% today after announcing that the company has managed its best holiday season to date this year. AMZN's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.

Labels: AMZN, BIG, CBK, ESLR, Hot Stocks, M, PAY, TGT

Stocks stormed higher on the day, brushing aside mixed retail sales reports in anticipation of a Federal Reserve rate cut next week. The Dow added 175 points on the day to end at 13,620. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq was up 1.6% to close at 2,709, and the S&P finished up 1.5% at 1,507. Light, sweet crude prices climbed higher on the day with oil settling at $90.23 a barrel for January delivery. Treasury prices fell, while gold prices gained to close at $807.10 an ounce. The dollar gained against the yen, but declined versus the euro.
In economic news, a report from the Labor Department showed the number of jobless claims dropping last week, as Wall Street prepares for the department's monthly labor report tomorrow. According to the report, the number of claims for unemployment benefits fell last week by 15,000 to a total of 338,000. It was the largest decline in three months.
On the earnings front, shares of Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL - News) soared 13.0% despite reporting its first quarterly loss in 21 years. For the quarter, the homebuilder posted a net loss of -$81.8 million, or -52 cents per share, versus a profit of $173.8 million, or $1.07 per share, last year. Excluding a $314.9 million write-down, the company would have posted earnings of 72 cents per share. Quarterly revenue fell to $1.17 billion, down -35% from a year ago. On average, analysts were looking for a loss of -77 cents per share on revenue of $1.166 billion.
Elsewhere, imaging equipment maker Analogic (Nasdaq: ALOG - News) swung to a profit in the first quarter on earnings of $6.4 million, or 48 cents per share, versus a net loss of -$5.4 million, or -39 cents per share, in the prior year. Excluding one-time items, the company would have earned 53 cents per share compared with earnings of 12 cents per share last year. Revenue for the quarter jumped to $94.2 million, up 25% from $75.6 million in 2006. Analysts were expecting earnings of 40 cents per share on $87.4 million in revenue. Analogic's stock was up 18.2% at the bell.
In other corporate news, shares of ConAgra (NYSE: CAG - News) traded 6.3% higher on the day after the packaged food company said its second-quarter earnings would be higher than expected. ConAgra had previously said results would be in line with last year's earnings of 43 cents per share. Analysts were looking for a profit of 41 cents per share for the 2008 period.
Discount retailer Target (NYSE: TGT - News) said today that if recent soft sales patterns continue, the company will likely miss its previous estimates for December same-store sales. The company also reported that December sales needed to "meaningfully improve" in order to achieve fourth-quarter EPS growth. Shares of Target were off -7.6% for the session.
By the BullMarket.com Staff

Labels: ALOG, CAG, TGT, TOL

Erin Burnett started the show today showing crude oil up about $0.40. Financial earnings are predicted to be down for the next few days. Fannie May seems to be taking a dip downward. HSBC Holdings (HBC) is noted as being one of the financials with weak stock. Electronic sales have actually shown an increase despite the weak retail market. Homebuilders lead decline. Steve Liesman gives the econ recon, saying investors are scrambling to buy junk bond yields which have shown a rapid incline in valuable stock. The stock in credit companies are reported as being much weaker than the drop that was seen back in August. Lewis Alexander a Citi Chief Economists says that the drop we see in short term stocks will be short lived and a dependence on the FED to contain the financial stress, will affect our resilience to a recession. Brian Shactman of CNBC says that Cyber Monday did not act as the number online sales day of the year. 72% of online retailers give Cyber Monday "deals," compared to 43% last year. Such as free shipping costs and percentage slashing. Sales are expected to break $700 M for this year's Cyber Monday. Wal-Mart, Target and JC Penny are among the top contenders for promotional sales. E-Bay and Amazon.com are doing very well along with direct company sales websites. Next, China was discussed with John Maziotti, mayor of Palm Bay, FL. He is part of the proposed ban on goods from China. Proposed ban does not include emergency products. Palm Bay are looking for funds to be raised for a "made in America" Christmas tree lighting. He says the loss of jobs and the unhealthy variables included in imported products from China are the main issues backing the proposed ban. Robert Shuller of Macro-Markets says that to fix the housing market in the long term is going to take the creation of a consumer-oriented focus. To offer mortgages with outs in the initial contract will be one of the first issues on the reform list. Stop Trading with Jim Cramer was next. He supports the proposed ban on importing Chinese manufactured goods. Garmin (GRMN) is recommended to buy and sell 18 months from now. Richard Peterson from Thomson Financial says that this will be a record high for global IPO's. Russia leads with $8 B, New York in 4th place with $4.3B, but leads the market in American currency exchanges. Jim Goldman of CNBC reports that Yahoo (YHOO) small business servers are down. Hosting 3 million sites this will be causing some problems says Jim Goldman. Oil is responsible for 33% of Yemen GDP.

Labels: Amazon.com, CHINA, CNBC, Ebay, Erin Burnett, JCP, Jim Cramer, Mad Money, Street Signs, street signs recap, TGT, Wal-Mart

The Dow closed down 211 points and the Nasdaq finishing down 34. The S&P 500 has now given up all of its gains on the year. Najarian continues to like the four horseman names like Apple (AAPL), Google (GOOG) and Research In Motion (RIMM) which showed strength on Wednesday. Adami recommended getting long General Motors (GM) right here with a specific stop price in mind. Finerman found it strange that Fannie Mae (FNM) went up Wednesday. Crude oil came close to $100 on Wednesday, but fell just short and finished the day at $97.19. Gartman feels the stock market is behaving horribly and he is short names like Harley-Davidson (HOG), Tiffany (TIF) and Coach (COH) and long Microsoft (MSFT)and Apple (AAPL). Gartman's favorite position right now is short Cummins (CMI).
CNBC Pharmaceuticals Reporter Mike Huckman joined the show to discuss his take on big pharma stocks. Huckman explained that Pfizer (PFE) is having issues with safety concerns on a stop smoking drug, falling Lipitor sales and generic competition. Huckman also mentioned that Merck (MRK), Eli Lilly (LLY) and Bristol Myers (BMY) were all down on Wednesday. Finerman likes Johnson & Johnson (JNJ).
Investors tend to sell their biggest losers towards the end of the year to reduce the tax hit they take from their winners. Some of the names at 52-week lows are Citigroup (C), Pfizer (PFE), Merck (MRK), J.C. Penny (JCP), Capital One Financial (COF), Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) and AIG (AIG).
Word on the Street
Macke recommended buying The Gap (GPS) on dips. Finerman likes Limited (LTD) on valuation. Adami suggested buying Citi Trends (CTRN) ahead of earnings for Monday. Najarian likes Target (TGT) for its valuation in retail.
Deere & Company (DE) traded up 5% after profits rose 52%.
Najarian suggests looking at Agco (AG)
Najarian noted strong call options trading activity on Tibco Software (TIBX).
Pops & Drops
Pops - Google (GOOG) traded up 2%
U.S. Steel (X) traded up 5% also bucking the down trend in the market.
Drops - Tesoro (TSO) fell 3%
American International Group (AIG) fell 6%.
Circuit City (CC) fell 6% after a JPMorgan analyst downgraded the stock.
Jamba Juice (JMBA) plunged 30%
Final Trade
Macke says don't buy stocks if you don't have to and Adami and Finerman just gave thanks in the holiday spirit.
Najarian likes Apple (AAPL) and he thinks the stock will explode into January.

Labels: AAPL, BMY, CMI, CNBC, CNBC's Fast Money, COF, COH, Fast Money Recap, FNM, GM, GOOG, HOG, LLY, LTD, MRK, MSFT, pfe, RIMM, TGT, TIF

The Dow closed up 51 points and the S&P 500 finished up 6 points. Crude oil is closing in on $100 as we near Thanksgiving. John Kilduff, an analyst at MF Global, joined the show to discuss his take on oil. He predicts the top on crude could be in area of $108 to $110. Adami favors Chevron (CVX), which he feels is cheaper then ExxonMobil (XOM). He advises looking at refiners like Tesoro (TSO) here. Finerman owns Tesoro and she is also looking at buying ConocoPhillips (COP).
Regional airlines are benefiting from the delays and congestion at larger airports. Airlines like Midwest (MEH) and Allegiant (ALGT) are benefiting from this trend. Adami says the way to play this trend is to buy the private jet makers like Textron (TXT), General Dynamics (GD), Embrear (ERJ) and Honeywell (HON).
For Defensive stocks Najarian likes Merck (MRK), Genentech (DNA) and Biogen (BIIB). However, Finerman would get defensive with names like Altria (MO) and Kraft (KFT). Adami also recommends Altria, Unilever (UL) and Procter & Gamble (PG).
Word on the Street
Target (TGT) reported a 4.4% fall in profits.
Whole Foods Market (WFMI) reported a decline in fourth-quarter profits, but sales top Wall Street estimates.
Google (GOOG) trades up 4% after Credit Suisse raised their price target to $900. Najarian believes names like Research In Motion (RIMM), Google and Apple (AAPL) are starting to show strength again. He would look to get back into these stocks around these levels. Adami prefers Microsoft (MSFT).
Najarian would keep an eye on ISIS Pharmaceuticals (ISIS) and Sangamo Biosciences (SGMO).
Pops & Drops
Pops - Barnes & Noble (BKS) traded up 13% after reporting higher internet sales.
Exxon (XOM) traded up 4% after UBS upgraded the stock.
Kraft (KFT) traded up 2%.
Utilities EFT (XLU) traded up 1%.
Drops - Office Depot (ODP) fell 7% after reporting a 9% decline in profits.
Echostar (DISH) fell 7%
Ericsson (ERIC) fell 12%
Hovnanian (HOV) fell 9%.
GameStop (GME) fell 4% after the video game maker missed analyst estimates.
Saks (SKS) fell 2% after missing estimates.
Final Trade
Macke likes the price action in Microsoft (MSFT).
Adami recommends Freeport McMorRan (FCX).
Finerman says to short the iShares Dow Jones US Real Estate ETF (IYR).
Najarian would purchase Pulte Homes (PHM) for a short term buy.

Labels: ALGT, BIIB, CNBC, CNBC's Fast Money, COP, CVX, erj, Fast Money, GD, GOOG, HON, MEH, MRK, PG, TGT, TSO, TXT, UL, WFMI, XOM

It was a rollercoaster ride on Wall Street, as stocks attempted to balance a solid Hewlett-Packard (NYSE: HPQ - News) earnings report with mortgage sector concerns and a report by the Fed predicting slowed economic growth in 2008. The Dow finished up 52 points on the day to close at 13,010. Meanwhile, the Nasdaq and S&P each posted small gains to finish at 2,597 and 1,440, respectively. Light, sweet crude surged in trading to close at $97.69 per barrel for December delivery. Treasury prices traded relatively flat, while gold prices gained on the day to close at $794.50 an ounce. The dollar hit a new low versus the euro, but gained against the yen.

On the economic front, the Federal Reserve revealed that it's cut its growth expectations for the U.S. economy for the coming year. According to newly released forecasts, the central bank now expects growth to slow to between 1.8%-2.5% in 2008, down sharply from previously unreleased estimates in June that had forecasted growth of 2.5%-2.75%.
In earnings news, shares of Freddie Mac (NYSE: FRE - News) plunged -28.7% today after posting a net loss and announcing it would write down nearly -$8.1 billion in lending-related assets. For the third quarter, the mortgage company reported a loss of -$2.03 billion, or -$3.29 per share, compared with a loss of -$715 million, or -$1.17 per share, a year earlier. The firm said it has hired an adviser to help study capital-raising options and said it is considering slashing its dividend by -50%.
After the bell last night, Hewlett-Packard reported a fourth-quarter surge in net income to $2.16 billion, or 81 cents a share, up 28% from $1.69 billion, or 60 cents per share, last year. Excluding one-time items, the company posted a profit of 86 cents per share. Sales in the quarter jumped to $28.3 billion, up 15% from $24.6 billion a year earlier. Analysts, on average, had been looking for a profit of 82 cents per share on revenue of $27.4 billion. Shares of Hewlett-Packard traded up fractionally on the day.
Shares of Target (NYSE: TGT - News) were down -4.1% in trading as the discount retailer posted a drop in net earnings to $483 million, or 56 cents per share, down from $506 million, or 59 cents per share, a year ago. Quarterly revenue rose to $14.82 billion, up 9.3% from $13.57 billion in 2006. On average, analysts were looking for EPS of 62 cents on $14.8 billion in revenue. The company also said its board had authorized a new $10 billion share repurchase program. Subscribers can read our take on Target in today's edition.
Homebuilder D.R. Horton (NYSE: DHI - News) reported a swing to a loss in the fourth quarter. For the period ended September 30th, the company posted a loss of -$50.1 million, or -16 cents per share, versus a profit of $277.7 million, or 88 cents per share, last year. Sales in the quarter fell to $3.12 billion, down -35% from $4.8 billion in 2006. Despite the loss, results still beat Wall Street estimates, as analysts had predicted a loss of -66 cents per share on sales of $2.9 billion. Shares of D.R. Horton closed up 2.5% on the day.

By the BullMarket.com Staff

Labels: DHI, DR Horton Inc., FRE, HPQ, TGT

Discount retailer Target Corp. said Tuesday that third-quarter earnings dipped 4 percent, missing Wall Street forecasts, because of weak sales in high-margin categories such as clothing and home furnishings.

Target also said its board has authorized a new $10 billion share buyback program that at current prices would cover 20 percent of its outstanding shares. Target said the buyback would be funded partially by additional debt.
Target shares fell 90 cents, or 1.7 percent, to $53 in morning trading after trading at a 52-week low of $52 earlier in the session.
Third-quarter earnings fell to $483 million, or 56 cents per share, from $506 million, or 59 cents per share, in the prior year.
Quarterly sales grew 9 percent to $14.84 billion, from $13.57 billion in the third quarter of 2006.
Analysts surveyed by Thomson Financial forecast earnings of 62 cents per share on revenue of $14.83 billion. The earnings estimates typically exclude one-time items.

Labels: Target Corp., TGT

The Dow closed down 218 points and the Nasdaq fell 43 points on Monday. Finerman sees storm clouds are everywhere and the Goldman downgrade of Citigroup (C) really hurt the markets. Najarian had a fun day trading. He also thinks the financial sector is in big trouble and he is extremely worried about General Motors (GM) which fell below $27.
Louise Yamada, a highly ranked technician on Wall Street, joined the show to discuss her analysis on the technicals of the market. She is currently worried that the S&P 500 could break 1406, which would signal to her an end of the longer-term uptrend. Yamada is still bullish on Cisco Systems (CSCO) and she would look to buy pullbacks on the name. She looked at the chart on Broadcom (BRCM) calling it a sell because it hasn't followed through after a false break-out. The chart on Coca-Cola (KO) is initiating an uptrend according to Yamada, so she would be a buyer of KO. Bed Bath and Beyond (BBBY) should be sold.
Retail
Nordstrom (JWN) reported a 22% rise in third-quarter profits helped by an extra week of sales.
Sears Holdings (SHLD) disclosed it has taken a 13.7% stake in Restoration Hardware (RSTO) and the possibility of proposing an acquisition.
Target (TGT) is set to report earnings Tuesday before the opening bell.
Hewlett-Packard (HPQ) clocked a 28% jump in profits off of strong notebook sales.
Medtronic (MDT) reported a 2% decline in profits, but the stock trades 3% higher after hours.
Lowe's (LOW) dropped 7% after reporting a 10% decline in profits due to the weak housing market.
Celgene (CELG) bought Pharmion (PHRM) for $2.9 billion. Adami thinks that Phizer must make a similar acquisition.
EchoStar (DISH) shares exploded higher Monday after Citigroup said there was a 65% chance that AT&T (T) will buy DISH.
Ultimate Fighting is now the fasting growing spectator sport in the United States. Macke says look for growth in cable companies and satellite companies like Viacom (VIA) and EchoStar. He also thinks makers of energy drinks like Coca-Cola will benefit. He said avoid the World Wrestling Entertainment (WWE) because the UFC is taking share. Lastly, Macke speculated that Anheuser-Busch (BUD) could be near a beverage deal with the UFC.
Pops & Drops
Pops - Xerox (XRX) traded up 2%.
Intercontinental Exchange traded up 3%
VeriSign (VRSN) traded up 2%.
Drops - E*TRADE (ETFC) fell 13% even with speculation of a takeover by Ameritrade (AMTD)
Wynn Resorts (WYNN) fell 7%
Genesco (GCO) plunged 24%.
Disney (DIS) fell 4%
General Motors (GM) fell 8% after the automaker announced plans for year-end discounts to clear out inventory.
Dillard's (DDS) fell 5%.
Tween Brands (TWB) fell 13%
Final Trade
Macke would purchase Dicks Sporting Goods (DKS) and Target on any selloff Tuesday
Najarian advises buying EchoStar (DISH) on a pullback under $44.
Finerman is long Goldman Sachs Group (GS) and short Lehman Brothers Holdings (LEH).
Adami recommends Vodafone Group (VOD) for a play on China.

Labels: BBBY, BRCM, CELG, Citigroup Inc., CNBC, CNBC's Fast Money, CSCO, DISH, Dow Jones, Fast Money Recap, GM, HPQ, JWN, KO, LOW, MDT, Nasdaq, PHRM, SHLD, TGT

Here are 7 stocks for traders for Tuesday from TradingMarkets.com:
Barnes & Noble (NYSE:BKS - News) reports earnings on Tuesday before the market opens, with analysts looking for -$0.08 EPS. BKS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.

CDC Corporation (NasdaqGM:CHINA - News) is expected to announce $0.09 EPS on Tuesday morning before the market opens. CHINA's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Gamestop (NYSE:GME - News) announces earnings tomorrow morning before the bell, with traders expecting $0.23 EPS. GME's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
Hormel Foods (NYSE:HRL - News) should report $0.65 EPS on Tuesday morning before the bell. HRL's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
When Office Depot (NYSE:ODP - News) announces quarterly results on Tuesday morning, look for $0.40 EPS. ODP's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Saks (NYSE:SKS - News) and Target (NYSE:TGT - News) both report earnings tomorrow morning. SKS is looking for $0.16 EPS, while TGT expects $0.61 EPS. SKS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4, and TGT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.

Labels: BKS, CHINA, GME, Hot Stocks, HRL, ODP, SKS, TGT

Dennis Gartman, author of The Gartman Letter, joined the show to discuss his take on the dollar, which he predicted last Friday was due for a bounce. The dollar had its biggest one day reversal in a year on Monday. He also noted that in the last 4 days the U.S. dollar had the biggest rally versus the Canadian dollar that he has seen in his life. He also wouldn't be surprised to see gold fall another $40. Also, Gartman is looking for oil to fall $10-$15 before Thanksgiving.
Merrill Lynch economist David Rosenberg said on Monday that the last time he's seen a drop in consumer confidence to this degree during the Holiday season; the economy was in a recession. Macke thinks the Tuesday earnings reports from Home Depot (HD) and Wal-Mart (WMT) will be horrific. The only retailer he expects a good earnings report from is Kohl's (KSS) and his wild card is Macy's (M). He would get long Costco (COST) and Target (TGT). Adami thinks a trade is setting up for Coldwater Creek (CWTR), which he mentions has a very high short interest.
E*Trade (ETFC) lost 60% of its value Monday on concerns over the companies loan portfolio. Finerman thinks the most clear trade is to be long TD Ameritrade Holding (AMTD). Finerman sees opportunity for TD Ameritrade to steal E*Trade clients with all the problems they're having. She also likes Charles Schwab (SCHW).
IBM (IBM) bought Cognos (COGN) for $5 billion and Fortune Brands (FO) sold its wine business to Constellation Brands (STZ) for $885 million. Adami declares United States Steel (X) will be the next company to be taken over.
Word on the Street
Technology stocks continued to slide Monday with leaders like Google (GOOG) dropping 5%, Apple (AAPL) dropping 7% and Research In Motion (RIMM) dropping 9%. Adami likes Hewlett Packard (HPQ) ahead of next Monday's earnings report.
Rio Tinto (RTP) hits a record high after BHP Billiton (BHP) laid out the details for its $140 billion all-share offer.
Adami says the big pharmaceutical story is not fiction and Merck (MRK) is for real. He also loves defense play Johnson & Johnson (JNJ). Macke agrees with Adami and that right now is a good time to be long Merck, Procter & Gamble (PG), Pfizer (PFE) and Church & Dwight (CHD) for a defensive portfolio. Najarian wants to keep an eye on Eli Lilly (LLY).
Pops & Drops
Pops - Cisco Systems (CSCO) traded up 2% on Monday as the market declined.
Mattel (MAT) traded up 4% off a JPMorgan upgrade.
Starwood (HOT) traded up 2%
Washington Mutual (WM) traded up 1% as the financial stocks mounted a rally on Monday.
American Airlines (AMR), US Airways (LCC) and Delta (DAL) all traded up more than 5% as oil prices declined.
Starbucks (SBUX) traded up 3%.
Drops - Freeport McMoRan (FCX) fell 10% as commodity stocks were hit off the dollar rally.
Tyson Foods (TSN) fell 3% after cutting its 2008 forecast.
Sotheby's (BID) fell 2%.
Mosaic (MOS) fell 14% off the dollar rally.
Final Trade
Macke likes defensive play Procter & Gamble (PG).
Adami recommends Cisco Systems (CSCO).
Finerman and Najarian both picked TD Ameritrade Holding (AMTD).

Labels: AMTD, CNBC, CNBC's Fast Money, COST, CWTR, dennis gartman, ETFC, Fast Money, Fast Money Recap, HD, KSS, TGT, WMT

On Friday the Fast Money crew speculated on the news about Citigroup (C). Macke thinks the banks are still a sell here unless you're the fastest of traders. Finerman went long Citigroup through options on Friday and she sees a bounce if CEO Chuck Prince leaves. Macke agrees that it does look like a near term reversal to the upside could be in store for Citigroup. Tim Seymour thinks the downside for the financials might be a bit over done and he bought Merrill Lynch (MER) on Friday.
Famous Legg Mason money manager, Bill Miller, likes financials and consumer names, proposing that the global plays might be over. He predicts that new leadership in the markets will come from US, large-cap, dollar-based stocks. Seymour disagrees and thinks that consumer names will do nothing over the next year. Macke thinks Miller's statement is reckless.
Cisco Systems (CSCO) is set to report earnings on Wednesday. Oppenheimer Chief Market technician Carter Worth joined the show to discuss Cisco Systems. In Worth's opinion, CSCO has relative strength and during market sell-offs investors haven't been selling the shares. Adami notes that fundamentally CSCO is doing well. Seymour contends CSCO is a bell-weather for technology and the company is finding ways to grow outside of the U.S. Macke thinks CSCO is just getting started and any pullback in the name is a chance to buy it. In the technology sector Macke wants a dip on Microsoft (MSFT) so he can get in. Adami favors Western Digital.
Retail Shopping
Most major retailers are set to report same-store sales for October on Wednesday Nov. 7th and Thursday Nov. 8th. Costco (COST) and Macy's (M) are Macke's favorite plays here. Finerman is positive on the retailers, but she is nervous about the consumer and she sold her Target (TGT).
Insurance: A shareholder group including Maurice Greenberg is requesting that American International Group (AIG) look at strategic alternatives. The stock is trading up 3% after hours on the news. Greenberg, who use to run AIG, is currently the largest shareholder and controls $3 billion in the stock. Charlie Gasparino's sources say that Greenberg wants to get rid of the current mangers and board of directors. Macke would be a buyer of AIG off this news.
OIL: Oil hits another record high to close at $95.93. Finerman favors Flowserve (FLS) for a global play. She also mentioned that FLS is her biggest position, although she did trim some on Friday. Adami tells investors Exxon Mobil (XOM) still has a rich valuation and if you want to play the oil space look at Chevron (CVX).
Seymour recommends investors look at emerging markets like Brazil, Russia and China. Brazilian banks Banco Itau Holding Financeira S.A. (ITU) and Banco Bradesco S.A. (BBD) are his plays. In Eastern Europe, he likes cellular plays Mobile TeleSystems (MBT) and Vimpel-Communications (VIP).
Pops & Drops
Pops - IAC Interactive Corp (IACI) traded up 9% after beating earnings.
USEC (USU) traded up 12% on a strong profits report.
Potash (POT) traded up 4% after Russian competitor Silvinit had a major flood causing tight world supplies to tighten further.
Baidu.com (BIDU) popped 16% after profits doubled. Macke declares BIDU is the Google of China.
Drops - Washington Mutual (WM) fell 17% after New York Attorney General Andrew Cuomo sued WM alleging it colluded with a real estate appraisal firm to inflate the value of homes to help ensure that loans went through.
Yahoo! (YHOO) fell 8% for the week.
Target (TGT) fell 6% following the downward trend in the market.
Titanium Metals (TIE) fell 11% after missing profit forecasts.
Quicker than the Ticker
Back on October 8th, Seymour suggested buying CTC Media (CTCM) and Central European Media Entertainment (CETV). Seymour got it right and shares of CTC Media went up 7% and CETV surged 20% since his recommendation.
On October 17th Adami told investors to buy MasterCard (MA). The stock has advanced 17% since he recommended it.
October 29th Finerman advised shorting GPS play Garmin (GRMN). GRMN declined 20% since her call.
It was October 31st when Macke recommended investors to short Citigroup (C). Macke was right and two days later Citigroup fell 9%.
Misfires
Earlier this week on Tuesday, Adami recommended buying Las Vegas Sands (LVS). He missed the trade and LVS plunged 19% since his call. For now he favors Boyd Gaming (BYD).
Last Friday Finerman recommended shorting oil. Since her call oil has climbed 6% higher. Finerman would get out of the short oil trade because it didn't work.
A week ago Macke told investors to buy Procter and Gamble (PG). Procter has fallen 3% since he picked it, but Macke says the earnings report wasn't that bad and maintains its going to work in the long-term.
On October 4th Seymour favored investment bank Merrill Lynch (MER) on valuation. Seymour was way off and Merrill fell 19%.
Final Trade
After a rollercoaster week, the team gives their best picks. Although, not necessarily for stocks.
Macke picks the Indianapolis Colts over the New England Patriots. Finerman went with the New England Patriots.
Adami places his bet on Intel (INTC).
Seymour chooses Immersion (IMMR).

Labels: AIG, CNBC, COST, CSCO, Fast Money, Fast Money Recap, MER, MSFT, TGT

Here are 7 trading ideas for today. These lists come directly from the TradingMarkets Stock Indicators page and are based upon our latest quantitative research.
Bullish
5+ Consecutive Down Days: These are stocks that have closed down for five or more consecutive days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that close down for five or more days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Sun Healthcare (NasdaqGM:SUNH - News). SUNH's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
5+ Consecutive Lower Lows: These are stocks that have made a lower low for five or more consecutive days and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving average that make lower lows for five or more days have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Eli Lilly (NYSE:LLY - News). LLY's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
2-Period RSI Below 2: These are stocks that have a 2-period RSI reading below 2 and are trading above their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading above their 200-day moving with a 2-period RSI reading below 2 have shown positive returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Target (NYSE:TGT - News) & Reliance Steel (NYSE:RS - News). TGT's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7, and RS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 7.
Bearish
5+ Consecutive Up Days: These are stocks that have closed up for five or more consecutive days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that close up for five or more days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Kinder Morgan Energy Partners (NYSE:KMP - News). KMP's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
5+ Consecutive Higher Highs: These are stocks that have made a higher high for five or more consecutive days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that make higher highs for five or more days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-day, 2-days and 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Stillwater Mining (NYSE:SWC - News). SWC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 2.
Stocks Up 10% or More: These are stocks that have gained 10% or more over the past five days and are trading below their 200-day moving average. Our research shows that stocks trading below their 200-day moving average that have gained 10% or more over the past five days have shown negative returns, on average, 1-week later. Historically, these stocks have provided traders with a significant edge.
Visteon Corporation (NYSE:VC - News). VC's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
Published By TradingMarkets.com

Labels: Hot Stocks, KMP, LLY, RS, SUNH, SWC, TGT, VC

Buy Costco (COST), Jim Cramer said Wednesday on CNBC's Stop Trading! segment.
Cramer said the warehouse retailer is uniquely attractive to shoppers because it's an ever-changing experience. "They have an exciting thing," he said. "They made it so you can't regard it as a Wal-Mart (WMT) or a Target (TGT )."
Cramer likes Gap (GPS) because of the incentives set up for new management.
Cramer still likes refiners Valero (VLO), Chevron (CVX) and Conoco (COP) despite recent warnings by Valero and Chevron, because he says recent weeks have seen refining margins "explode."

Labels: CNBC's Stop Trading, COP, COST, CVX, GPS, Jim Cramer, Stop Trading, TGT, VLO, WMT

The crew at Fast Money discussed how retail stocks may be affected by the whipsaws of trading. Najarian pointed at that while stocks were down early, technology names recovered. According to Macke, investors shot first and didn't bother to ask the questions in the retail sector. Finerman feels something else besides fundamentals were at work with regards to the overall market sell off and the selling seen in retail stocks.
Target (TGT), Lowe's (LOW) and Wal-Mart (WMT) traded lower off the poor consumer confidence numbers. Adami thinks Target is worth a trade here.
Christmas Season:
Margret Brennan, CNBC's chief correspondent, thinks consumer electronics and retail accessories like handbags and shoes will be strong again this Christmas. She is looking at Wal-Mart and agrees with Adami on Target for a play on strong consumer electronics demand. Macke recommends Coach (COH). Adami suggests Saks (SKS). Najarian continues to favor athletic apparel maker Under Armour (UA)
Word on the Street
Existing home sales were reported on Tuesday and hit a five-year low. Finerman has concerns that Lennar (LEN) may have write-downs in the future, and that short-term trade is in order at Centex (CTX). Adami: if KB Home (KBH) trades down to a 52-week low on 10 million shares, buy it for a short-term trade. The strike at General Motors (GM) hit its second day on Tuesday as investors grow nervous of a stalemate. Najarian doesn't want to see the strike go more then five days. Adami's idea for an auto trade look is to look for a pullback in BorgWarner (BWA).
Technology Sector
Apple (AAPL) and Google (GOOG) hit new records as technology stocks continued to shine. Najarian says gadget stocks like Garmin (GRMN) and Research In Motion (RIMM) continue to be strong as well.
Chemical and Consumer Sectors:
Najarian: Likes Crocs (CROX), Monsanto (MON) and Digital River (DRIV).
Carter Worth: chief market technician at Oppenheimer, joined the crew to discuss his take on technical analysis in the markets. Says there is strength in materials, energy and industrial stocks, but that strength is being offset by weakness in consumer discretionary and financial stocks.
BHP Billiton (BHP) vs. Wal-Mart (WMT). BHP is killing WMT in performance. The second chart was Schlumberger (SLB) vs. UBS (UBS) and the third was Arcelor Mittal (MT) vs. Toyota (TM). UBS and MT are the out performers in the above three comparisons and BHP has room to go higher.
Pops & Drops
Pops -- ValueClick (VCLK) traded up 13% and Focus Media (FMCN) traded up 19%.
NAVTEQ (NVT) traded up 11%.
Tesoro (TSO) popped 3%. Adami is bearish on the refineries.
USEC (USU) popped 6%.
Drops -- Vonage (VG) plunged 34%
Whirlpool (WHR) fell 5%
Freeport McMoRan (FCX) fell 2%
Face2Face
Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has fallen considerably from its high of $174. Is this an opportunity to accumulate a larger position, or is ICE's stock price reflecting slower growth? Finerman responds by noting that the exchanges are in play for M&A and this could draw in more investor interest for names like ICE.
Macke was asked his opinion on Chipotle Mexican Grill's (CMG). Macke likes CMG for a trade.
Final Trade
Macke favors eBay (EBAY).
Finerman prefers Comverse Technology (CVMT).
Najarian tells investors to play the online ad space with Digital River (DRIV).
Adami likes USEC (USU)

Labels: AAPL, CNBC, COH, CTX, Fast Money, GOOG, GRMN, LEN, LOW, RIMM, SKS, TGT, UA, WMT

Stocks seesawed back and forth between positive and negative territory today, with the major market indices finishing the day mixed. The Dow and Nasdaq both closed higher, while the S&P was off fractionally. Gold slipped on the day, while oil fell to close under $80 a barrel at $79.53.
Economic news was plentiful on the day, with some continuing unsettling data on the housing market. The National Association of Home Builders reported that existing home sales fell -4.3% to 5.5 million units. Sales dropped -13% compared with a year earlier. The group noted that median home prices rose 0.2% to $224,500. Meanwhile, the S&P Case-Shiller home price index stated that home prices in 20 metro areas fell the most on record in July. Shifting gears a bit, The Conference Board announced that its index of consumer sentiment fell to 99.8 in September, which is the lowest level since November of 2005, and down from 105.6 in August.
In corporate news, several retail warnings weighed heavily on investors. The nation's second-largest discount retailer, Target (NYSE: TGT - News), cut its September same-store sales growth figures citing weaker traffic during the month, especially in Florida and the Northeast. The company cut same-store sales growth to 1.5-2.5%, down from its previous expectations of 4-6%. Shares slid -4.6%. Subscribers can read our take on Target in today's issue.
Meanwhile, shares of home improvement retailer Lowe's (NYSE: LOW - News) shares fell -6.7% after the company announced that it sees full-year earnings at the low end or slightly below its prior forecast. Lowe's cited lower-than-expected sales trends. The company had predicted earnings of $1.97-2.01 a share previously. The company did note that for 2008-2010 it expects earnings to increase 12-15%, while seeing sales rise 8-11% per year.
Also lowering guidance on the day was McCormick & Schmick's Seafood Restaurants (Nasdaq: MSSR - News). After previously forecasting earnings of 21-23 cent a share on revenue of $90-$91 million, McCormick & Schmick's now anticipates reporting a profit of 16 cents a share on revenue of $88 million. The company's CEO attributed the lowered outlook to weak demand from "aspirational guest[s]." Shares plunged -22.9%
The losses continue to mount for our nation's homebuilders, as Lennar (NYSE: LEN - News) posted a loss of -$514 million, or -$3.25 a share, for the quarter ended August 31st. The loss compared to a year-ago profit of $207 million, or $1.30 a share. Revenues fell -44% to $2.2 billion during the quarter, and the company took a -$848 million charge due to valuation reductions and write-offs. Home deliveries declined a drastic -41%, while new orders plunged -48%. The company announced that it is seeking further reductions in head count. Shares fell -4.0%.
By the BullMarket.com Staff

Labels: LEN, LOW, Lowe's Companies Inc., MSSR, Target, TGT

On Wednesday, Cramer said, "For everyone who missed out on the 400-point rally yesterday and today, I have one thing to say: It's not too late, you've barely missed a thing." Proof: Cramer said when the Fed realized the extent of its problems back in 1990, it was a great time to get into the market. Since then: Dow Jones up 10,000 points. People shouldn't pay attention to the "negative Nancies" that have been scared out of the market. Cramer says the rate cut has been great for so many stocks. Including: Kohl's (KSS), Target (TGT), as well as the banks. Also: Wachovia (WB), Downey Financial (DSL), and FirstFed Financial (FED). Cramer is still in the middle on homebuilders. He wouldn't touch Lennars (LEN) or KB Homeses (KBH), but wouldn't short them anymore.
AT&T (T): Cramer spent the next segment telling why AT&T is a good buy. It has a good dividend and has "totally reinvented itself as a growth company" by investing in telco companies. AT&T CFO Rick Linder was welcomed to the show and said the telco industry is resurging. Their wireless data, broadband, and video division are all taking off as well. Their acquisition of Apple's iPhone has been largely successful, especially since its price drop to $200.
Mad Mail: writer commented on Cisco's (CSCO) recent acquisition of wireless solutions company Cognio and asked if all WiFi companies are headed down the bandwidth road to the extent that Level 3 Communications (LVLT) will soon experience explosive revenue and profit growth.
Am I Diversified? Cramer's first caller asked if he was diversified with the following five stocks: Apple, Noble (NE), Potash (POT), Research In Motion (RIMM) and Schlumberger (SLB). Cramer pointed out two pairs with Apple and RIMM, and Noble and Schlumberger. Throw out Noble and Apple and add a defense play like Northrop Grumman (NOC) and a financial like Wachovia. Separately, Cramer said he prefers Deere (DE), Monsanto (MON) and Bunge (BG) to Potash.
His second caller named these five picks: Genentech (DNA), Fuel-Tech (FTEK), NightHawk Radiology (NHWK), L-1 Identity Solutions (ID) and US Gold (UXG). Cramer told the caller she had too much of a gambling portfolio with too many speculative stocks like ID, FTEK and UXG. He suggested getting out of those and into less speculative names.

Labels: ATT. T, CSCO, DE, DSL, FED, Jim Cramer, KSS, LEN KBH, LVLT, Mad Money, Mad MOney Recap, MON, NE, NOC, POT, RIMM, TGT, WB