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Wednesday, November 21, 2007

Jim Cramer's Mad Money Stock Recap Nov. 20th

On Tuesday's show Cramer gave out 5 rules for investing in the stock market. His first rule is that there is a market for everything, including the stocks themselves. He said an example was how ethanol stocks were very hot about a year ago, and then several IPOs came on the market, so there was an oversupply of ethanol stocks on the market and the entire sector went down. So the ethanol business and news didn't matter because there were too many ethanol stocks available. Cramer said another example was his recommendation of Sealy (ZZ) at its IPO where he liked the stock, but didn't realize that there was a glut of IPOs, so the IPO market was saturated and the stock tanked.
Cramer took soma calls. The first caller asked how you can know whether an IPO is a good investment or not, and Cramer said that the key is the offering price for the shares. Another caller asked if there are any sectors that Wall Street overlooks, and Cramer said that you should look for a sector that used to have 10 analysts and only has 1 or 2 now and consider that sector for a turnaround. The next caller asked about the Vonage (VG) IPO, and Cramer said that this IPO was overhyped and that they should not have let the company sell stock to its customers.
Cramer's second rule is to know what you own. Sectors don't always matter since stocks within a sector can rally without others. Industries within a sector are the key to rallies, not the sector itself. An example occurred a couple years ago when he called for a tech rally and recommended Cisco (CSCO) and Microsoft (MSFT) because they were the big tech stocks, and he should have been thinking more specifically about the gadget industry within tech, since stocks like Apple (AAPL) were up big. He also said that he wants you to do at least 1 hour of homework each week for each stock you own. He thinks you should give your money to a mutual fund if you don't have enough time.
A caller asked why you don't see big rallies in the biotech sector, and Cramer explained that biotech stocks are moved by FDA rulings, not broader industry moves. The next caller asked how to find the pin action within a sector that Cramer talks about, and he used an example where Boeing (BA) reported a great quarter, and you should look to see who makes the components of the planes they make, since their sales will rise with Boeing's. The next caller asked how to predict performance if a sector is split, like Internet search with Yahoo! (YHOO) and Google (GOOG), and Cramer said that you need to look at management and other company specific factors in that case.
Cramer's third rule is that Latin America should always be treated as a shorter term trade since Wall Street has preconceived notions about the region that prevent it from being a long term investment, and they are the ones who move the market. You should always take profits as a Latin American stock moves up so you don't get caught when the big investors move out of their trade. A caller asked how important our economy is to Chinese stocks, and Cramer said that he doesn't like to recommend Chinese stocks because he doesn't trust their economy. The other caller asked about stocks like Wal-mart (WMT) and Starbucks (SBUX) that are expanding in China, and Cramer said that Starbucks could be the next Yum! Brands (YUM) which doubled their stock price after they doubled their stores in China.
Cramer's next rule is that being a lemming is ok, but he still wants you to go your homework, but if you agree with the moves that big investors are making, then it's good to go with the momentum.
His last rule was to not be afraid to say that something is too difficult to invest or trade on. His example is restaurant same store sales, which he has been crushed on in the past since there are so many factors that contribute to the number and the reaction. He said you aren't being weak, but smart by focusing your time someplace where you can make money.

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Monday, October 08, 2007

Hot Stock Options to Watch Today

Here are 7 options to watch for today.
Most Under-Priced Calls: These are the most under priced calls of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most under-priced individual calls.
Apple Oct 170 Calls (NasdaqGS:AAPL - News). AAPL's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Most Under-Priced Puts: These are the most under priced puts of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most under-priced individual puts.
Research in Motion Oct 110 Puts (NasdaqGS:RIMM - News). RIMM's PowerRating (for Traders) is 3.
Most Overpriced Calls: These are the most overpriced calls of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most overpriced individual calls.
Google Oct 650 Calls (NasdaqGS:GOOG - News). GOOG's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Most Overpriced Puts: These are the most overpriced puts of all stocks in our database. This stock comes from today's list and is among the most overpriced individual puts.
United Therapeutics Nov 50 Puts (NasdaqGS:UTHR - News). UTHR's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Stocks with Abnormal Call Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual call option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Call Volume Alerts list suggests a possible takeover, extraordinarily good earnings report, or other news which may favorably affect the stock.
Actions Semiconductor (NasdaqGM:ACTS - News). ACTS's PowerRating (for Traders) is 6.
Stocks with Abnormal Put Volume: These are stocks which showed unusual put option volume not easily explained by arbitrage operations. The appearance of a stock on the Put Volume Alerts list suggests an extraordinarily negative earnings report, or other news which may negatively affect the stock.
Sealy (NYSE:ZZ - News). ZZ's PowerRating (for Traders) is 5.
Abnormal Put/Call $ Volume: These stocks have the highest dollar put volume in relation to their call volume. These high ratios are indicative of extreme bearish sentiment in the underlying stock.
La-Z-Boy (NYSE:LZB - News). LZB's PowerRating (for Traders) is 4.
Published By TradingMarkets.com

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Monday, June 11, 2007

Jim Cramer's Mad Money Stock Recap June 11th

Live with Regis: Time Warner (NYSE: TWX), EMC (NYSE: EMC), Alcatel-Lucent (NYSE: ALU)
During Cramer's celebration of his 500th Mad Money program, he received a call from Regis Philbin who congratulated Cramer and asked him to comment on his portfolio. Concerning TWX, Cramer said he is still bullish; "We have to give Dick Parsons the chance to take it to $30" from $20.61. He added EMC is one of the few tech stocks he recommends, but suggested getting rid of ALU which has "hurt a lot of people."
Gaffes of Yesteryear: Dick's Sporting Goods (NYSE: DKS) and Montpelier Re Holdings (NYSE: MRH), Sealy's (NYSE: ZZ)
Recalling some of his errors along with his triumphs, Cramer revisited his recommendation to buy DKS right before its earnings report in August 2005 after which the stock got hammered. "This was an 18% loss overnight, and it doesn't get much worst than that," he said. He learned from this experience that buying before an earnings report may entail after-hours trading during which a stock can get slaughtered by the shorts. Cramer also recommended MRH, an insurance company focused on the Southeast region, as Hurricane Katrina was beginning. The stock was down on news of the impending hurricane, and Cramer thought MRH would have a bounce aftethe storm. However, no one quite understood how destructive Katrina would be, and the stock has yet to recover. In April 2006, Cramer recommended buying IPO Sealy at $18, but it fell to $12 two months later, because it was a "low-quality IPO."
Not the Chocolates: Fannie Mae (NYSE: FNM)
While FNM has increased, Cramer would still buy, because he envisions "tons" of upgrades for this comeback stock. He calls FNM a "money machine" even though it is a "quasigovernment" stock and is a good way to play the Democratic Congress, since the Republicans were doing business with big banks rather than with FNM, "But the Democrats put a stop to that when they took both Houses last November," Cramer said. With government backing, FNM can issue bonds cheaply, and it has a great dividend and a solid insurance business, said Cramer.
Sell Block: Qwest Communications (NYSE: Q), Apple (NasdaqGS: AAPL)
Cramer would get rid of Q because of the unexpected retirement of Richard Notebaert, who was the reason Cramer was bullish on Q. He would sell and buy AAPL, which is down 4 points.
Published By SeekingAlpha

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Wednesday, April 04, 2007

Hot Stocks to Watch Thursday

Here are 7 stocks for traders for Thursday from TradingMarkets.com:
Immucor (NasdaqGS:BLUD - News) beat earnings Wednesday afternoon, announcing $0.21 EPS over an expected $0.19 EPS. BLUD's PowerRating is 4.
Sealy (NYSE:ZZ - News) missed earnings Wednesday; analysts were looking for $0.27 EPS, but ZZ only announced $0.26 EPS. ZZ's PowerRating is 5.
A. Schulman (NasdaqGS:SHLM - News) announces earnings on Thursday before the bell; look for $0.16 EPS. SHLM's PowerRating is 6.
Centennial Communications (NasdaqGS:CYCL - News) reports quarterly earnings Thursday before the market opens, with analysts looking for $0.01 EPS. CYCL's PowerRating is 4.
When Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ - News) reports tomorrow morning, watch for $0.34 EPS. STZ's PowerRating is 5.
Analysts will be watching for Matrix Service (NasdaqGM:MTRX - News) to announce $0.17 EPS Thursday before the market opens. MTRX's PowerRating is 3.
RPM Incorporated (NYSE:RPM - News) is set to announce $0.07 EPS Thursday morning. RPM's PowerRating is 5.
PowerRatings are courtesy of PowerRatings.net

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Wednesday, February 21, 2007

Biggest Stock Gainers Wednesday

Pixelworks (NasdaqGM:PXLW - News) shares gained after the company said Samsung Electronics has chosen Pixelworks' new PW9050L chip for two slim cathode ray tube television models. Hans Olsen, president and chief executive of Pixelworks, said the market for slim cathode ray tubes is projected to grow from less than 8 million units in 2006 to more than 35 million units in 2010.
Sealy (NYSE:ZZ - News) shares jumped after the Trinity, N.C., bedding manufacturer reported fourth-quarter earnings of $21.5 million, or 22 cents a share, as sales rose 8.4% to $395.3 million. The company also approved a $100 buyback program.
Taser International (NasdaqGS:TASR - News) shares jumped after the Scottsdale, Ariz., stun gun maker posted fourth-quarter earnings of $2.3 million, or 4 cents a share, up from a year-ago loss of $4.1 million, or 7 cents a share. Revenue soared 53% in the latest three months to $19.3 million from a year ago. The company also said it expects to begin shipping its Taser C2 personal protector in the second quarter.
Texas Roadhouse Inc. (NasdaqGS:TXRH - News) reported fourth-quarter earnings of 10 cents a share, up from 9 cents in the year-earlier period. Revenue at the Louisville, Ky., restaurant operator rose to $152.6 million from $117.6 million.
Theravance (NasdaqGM:THRX - News) said the Food and Drug Administration has accepted its new drug application for telavancin, a treatment of complicated skin and skin structure infections caused by Gram-positive organisms. Theravance said the NDA filing triggers a milestone payment of $31 million from its partner, Astellas Pharma.
Tween Brands (NYSE:TWB - News) said its fourth-quarter net income rose to $28.2 million, or 86 cents a share, from $27.1 million, or 80 cents, a year earlier. Excluding items, earnings were 89 cents a share for the quarter. A Thomson Financial survey of analysts, on average, produced a consensus earnings estimate of 84 cents a share for the quarter. Analysts' estimates usually exclude items. Revenue for the quarter ended Feb. 3 rose 16% to $272.3 million from $235.1 million a year earlier. Tween Brand's same-store sales for the quarter rose 2%. By brand, Limited Too same-store sales were flat and Justice same-store sales rose 21%. For the first quarter of fiscal 2007, the company forecast earnings of 34 to 37 cents a share. Analysts project 39 cents for the quarter, on average. The company expects 2007 earnings of $2.15 to $2.25 a share. Analysts forecast earnings of $1.94 a share for the year.
Vail Resorts (NYSE:MTN - News) was upgraded to overweight at Prudential Equity Group.
Warner Music Group (NYSE:WMG - News) was upgraded to buy from neutral at Banc of America. The firm said it believes a potential combination with British music group EMI Group is likely to create an extended positive bias towards Warner.

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Monday, February 19, 2007

Stock Market Preview for this Week

For earnings hounds, the abbreviated work week is going to be made even shorter. Aside from the Q4 earnings season tapering off, market movers of note are limited with Tuesday and Wednesday being the headliners. Key reports include Home Depot (HD), Wal-Mart (WMT) and Hewlett Packard (HPQ).For economic watchdogs, Wednesday will be in the spotlight. Last week’s less influential PPI came in “just right” in matching expectations, so traders will be focused on what inflation at the consumer level ushers in. With relief over dovish Fed testimony last week, the report should prove to be a market mover. Stronger price readings would likely generate out-the-gate profit taking, as the primary catalyst behind last week’s triumphant rise would be deemed suspect. With the Fed still maintaining a vigilant watch over inflation, a turn in investor psychology isn’t a stretch with strong profits on the table. On the other hand, benign data would confirm investors’ newfound convictions over a more Street-friendly Fed. That being said, while a rallying point might be expected, a sell the news response at this juncture still seems more likely, unless the evidence presented is truly persuasive to bulls and bears alike.Elsewhere, the wild card of energy prices and the influence of index component sectors (XLE, OIH) might get a bit more interesting. Twelve sessions of mostly lateral testing slightly below the $60-a-barrel level and key moving averages should be nearing a technical conclusion. Milder temperatures late last week had bears breaking lateral supports in Thursday’s trading. However, an intraday reversal and follow-through in Friday’s session sent the March contract rallying back towards resistance within the established trading range.
Tuesday
Economic: NA
Earnings: Alltel (AT), Boyd (BYD), Home Depot (HD), Wal-Mart (WMT), Century Aluminum (CENX), Hewlett Packard (HPQ), Medtronic (MDT), Ultra Petrol (UPL), Sealy (ZZ), Powerwave (PWAV)
Wednesday
Economic: CPI & Core (.1%, .2%), Leading Indicators (.2%), Weekly Crude, FOMC Minutes
Earnings: Jack Box (JBX), Mittal (MT), Nice Systems (NICE), Orbital (ORB), Perficient (PRFT), TASER (TASR), Abercrombie (ANF), Agnico Mines (AEM), Analog Devices (ADI), Gen Maritime (GMR), Oceaneering Intl (OII), Pan Am Silver (PAAS), Salesforce (CRM), Whole Foods (WFMI)
Thursday
Economic: Weekly Claims (320K)Earnings: Barrick (ABX), Berry Petrol (BRY), JC Penney (JCP), K-Swiss (KSWS), Newmont (NEM), OfficeMax (OMX), Patterson (PDCO), Toll Bros (TOL), Aventine (AVR), Cabela’s (CAB), Dynamic Matls (BOOM), GFI Group (GFIG), H & R Block (HRB)
Friday
Economic: NA
Earnings: Clear Channel (CCU), Domino’s (DPZ), Lowe’s (LOW), NICOR (GAS)

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Wednesday, January 17, 2007

Jim Cramer's Mad Money Lightning Round Jan. 16

Bullish calls:
Yamana Gold (NYSE: AUY - News): ' I have walked away from KRY and endorsed AUY.'Hydril (NasdaqGS: HYDL): 'As long as oil is north of $40, you are going to be safe there, because it just doesn't make any sense not to use hydro products. I am buying that stock.'DirecTV (NYSE: DTV - News): 'I happen to like DTV. I happen to like DISH. These are cash machines ... The government approves of the duopoly.'EchoStar Communications (NasdaqGS: DISH): 'I endorse DISH too.'Marvell Technology (NasdaqGS: MRVL): 'There is not a single semiconductor, save MRVL*, which I own for my charitable trust, because I think they've got good iPhone business.'Jones Soda (NasdaqCM: JSDA): 'I bank with JSDA. You know I like JSDA. That's an up stock. I still can't believe Pepsi still hasn't taken a run at them.'State Street (NYSE: STT - News): 'This is one those banks that does processing, therefore it gets a higher valuation. 52-week high today, and I'm not backing away. It goes still higher!'British Airways (NYSE: BAB - News)
Bearish calls:
Crystallex (AMEX: KRY - News): ' ... we do not invest with Chavez. He has proven to be a recalcitrant, pseudo-communist! We are not banking with him anymore.'TiVo (NasdaqGM: TIVO): ' I know TIVO's going to be in Comcast, and all that other nonsense... The bottom line is TIVO is 'don't buy, don't buy.' Having recommended a sale outright higher, I don't want to push my luck, but I don't want you in the stock. 'Advanced Semiconductor Engineering (NYSE: ASX - News): 'I don't like that. That's another also-ran semi play ... I do not want to own semis here.'Select Comfort (NasdaqGS: SCSS): 'I have stayed away from the bed business ... I am putting a pox on all beds! Stay away! Sell, sell, sell! 'Sealy (NYSE: ZZ - News): 'I think ZZ was a mistake by me. 'Tempur Pedic (NYSE: TPX - News)CenterPoint Energy (NYSE: CNP - News): 'CNP is just okay. It's a 3.5% yield ... But basically, I like the utilities here, so I can't dis' it. Let me give it a 'don't buy, don't buy.'Nuance Communications (NasdaqGS: NUAN): 'No! No, no! Sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell! ... I say no to speech recognition.'Western Union (NYSE: WU - News): 'I am still in 'don't buy, don't buy,' because I worry about the immigrants being told they can't do what they want, so they may be afraid to go to Western Union.'
Published by SeekingAlpha

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Jim Cramer's Mad Money Lightning Round Jan. 16

Bullish calls:
Yamana Gold (AUY): ' I have walked away from KRY and endorsed AUY.'Hydril (HYDL): 'As long as oil is north of $40, you are going to be safe there, because it just doesn't make any sense not to use hydro products. I am buying that stock.'DirecTV (DTV): 'I happen to like DTV. I happen to like DISH. These are cash machines ... The government approves of the duopoly.'EchoStar Communications (DISH): 'I endorse DISH too.'Marvell Technology (MRVL): 'There is not a single semiconductor, save MRVL*, which I own for my charitable trust, because I think they've got good iPhone business.'Jones Soda (JSDA): 'I bank with JSDA. You know I like JSDA. That's an up stock. I still can't believe Pepsi still hasn't taken a run at them.'State Street (STT): 'This is one those banks that does processing, therefore it gets a higher valuation. 52-week high today, and I'm not backing away. It goes still higher!'British Airways (BAB)
Bearish calls:
Crystallex (KRY): ' ... we do not invest with Chavez. He has proven to be a recalcitrant, pseudo-communist! We are not banking with him anymore.'TiVo (TIVO): ' I know TIVO's going to be in Comcast, and all that other nonsense... The bottom line is TIVO is 'don't buy, don't buy.' Having recommended a sale outright higher, I don't want to push my luck, but I don't want you in the stock. 'Advanced Semiconductor Engineering (ASX): 'I don't like that. That's another also-ran semi play ... I do not want to own semis here.'Select Comfort (SCSS): 'I have stayed away from the bed business ... I am putting a pox on all beds! Stay away! Sell, sell, sell! 'Sealy (ZZ): 'I think ZZ was a mistake by me. 'Tempur Pedic (TPX)CenterPoint Energy (CNP): 'CNP is just okay. It's a 3.5% yield ... But basically, I like the utilities here, so I can't dis' it. Let me give it a 'don't buy, don't buy.'Nuance Communications (NUAN): 'No! No, no! Sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell, sell! ... I say no to speech recognition.'Western Union (WU): 'I am still in 'don't buy, don't buy,' because I worry about the immigrants being told they can't do what they want, so they may be afraid to go to Western Union.'
Published By SeekingAlpha

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